Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KFUM v Lillestrom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Score final : KFUM 1–1 Lillestrom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KFUM (Local)

Prévision 27.70%3.61cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.471%
Kelly -0.656%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.48%27.68%27.73%28.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.253.5532.26%30.35%30.77%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lillestrom (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.09%2.12cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.79%47.05%47.10%48.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.981.972.0754.64%50.46%50.76%48.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.21%3.97cote équitable
EV -0.906%
Avantage -0.231%
Kelly -0.309%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.22%25.27%25.16%26.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.603.9330.30%28.00%27.78%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KFUM (Local) : 27.70% ; Lillestrom (Visiteur) : 47.09% ; Match nul : 25.21%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.97. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.93, pour une espérance de -0.906% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.13%EV -5.35%E -2.66%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.62%EV -0.906%E -0.231%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:45
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:44
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.93%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -1.66%E -0.426%K -0.573%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 13:14
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 12:59
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 12:54
GTbets🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.28%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -3.94%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.73%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:49
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 13:49
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:49
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -6.30%E -3.16%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -8.72%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.12%E -4.73%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 27.09%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.72%EV -11.00%E -5.82%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.19%EV -9.73%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 13:48
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 12:54
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:49
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.09%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:49
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 13:54
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 13:49
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:19
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:40
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 13:49
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 13:49
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:19
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:59
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 12:55
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 12:54
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -15.53%E -4.64%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.59%E -5.00%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 13:49
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 13:20
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-15 13:40
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.83%E -7.56%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-15 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-08-15 13:50
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%1.6%2026-08-15 13:55