Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: KFUM (Local): 27.70%; Lillestrom (Visitante): 47.09%; Empate: 25.21%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.97. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.93, con un valor esperado de -0.906%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.13%EV -5.35%E -2.66%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.62%EV -0.906%E -0.231%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.93%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -1.66%E -0.426%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.28%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -3.94%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.73%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -6.30%E -3.16%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -8.72%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.12%E -4.73%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.09%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.72%EV -11.00%E -5.82%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.19%EV -9.73%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.09%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -15.53%E -4.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.59%E -5.00%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.83%E -7.56%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-15 13:59 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |