Language:English
IK Start v Tromso
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Start (Local)
Prediction 21.08%4.74fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.243%
Kelly +0.306%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.01%21.13%21.05%23.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.304.8025.00%23.12%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tromso (Visit)
Prediction 53.86%1.86fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.46%53.73%53.81%55.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.741.7962.11%57.65%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.40%25.14%25.14%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.563.553.9032.26%28.08%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Start (Local): 21.08%; Tromso (Visit): 53.86%; Draw: 25.07%. For IK Start (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%EV +1.16%E +0.243%K +0.306%G +0.004% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.87%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -2.24%E -0.573%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.07%EV -1.36%E -0.292%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.94%EV -7.91%E -4.62%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.99%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 11:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.76%EV -2.00%E -0.429%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.23%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.01%EV -3.24%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.05%E -0.663%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.98%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.05%E -0.663%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.99%EV -4.10%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.67%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.34%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -10.43%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -10.43%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -16.02%E -4.78%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -9.52%E -5.67%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -22.29%E -7.19%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -12.53%E -3.02%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -12.21%E -7.49%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -13.59%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -7.91%E -4.62%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -18.53%E -5.70%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.42%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |