L’École des cotes

IK Start v Tromso

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 15:00 UTC

Score final : IK Start 1–1 Tromso

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Start (Local)

Prévision 21.08%4.74cote équitable
EV +1.16%
Avantage +0.243%
Kelly +0.306%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.01%21.13%21.05%23.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.324.304.8025.00%23.12%23.26%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tromso (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.86%1.86cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -4.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.46%53.73%53.81%55.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.731.741.7962.11%57.65%57.47%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.07%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.573%
Kelly -0.771%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.40%25.14%25.14%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.553.9032.26%28.08%28.17%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%EV +1.16%E +0.243%K +0.306%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.87%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -2.24%E -0.573%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 13:35
GTbets4.68I 21.37%NM 20.07%EV -1.36%E -0.292%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.94%EV -7.91%E -4.62%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.99%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:39
Pinnacle4.65I 21.51%NM 20.76%EV -2.00%E -0.429%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.23%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.01%EV -3.24%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 14:45
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.05%E -0.663%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.98%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.05%E -0.663%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:35
1xBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.99%EV -4.10%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.67%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.34%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 14:50
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:45
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 14:50
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 14:50
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 14:50
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:45
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:40
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:55
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:45
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:45
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 14:45
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:45
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:01
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:01
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 13:00
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 14:53
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 14:50
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:45
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -10.43%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 12:59
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -10.43%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 13:00
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:45
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:54
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:45
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -16.02%E -4.78%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 13:00
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -9.52%E -5.67%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -22.29%E -7.19%K -10.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-03 14:30
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -12.53%E -3.02%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -12.21%E -7.49%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 14:45
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -13.59%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -7.91%E -4.62%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -18.53%E -5.70%K -8.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 13:00
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 14:50
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 14:45
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.42%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-05-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-03 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-03 14:55
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-05-03 14:50