La escuela de los momiosIK Start v Tromso
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Start (Local)
Predicción 21.08%4.74momio equitativo
EV +1.16%
Ventaja +0.243%
Kelly +0.306%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.01%21.13%21.05%23.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.324.304.8025.00%23.12%23.26%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tromso (Visitante)
Predicción 53.86%1.86momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -4.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.46%53.73%53.81%55.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.731.741.7962.11%57.65%57.47%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.07%3.99momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.573%
Kelly -0.771%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.40%25.14%25.14%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.553.9032.26%28.08%28.17%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%EV +1.16%E +0.243%K +0.306%G +0.004% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.87%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -2.24%E -0.573%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 13:35 |
| GTbets | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.07%EV -1.36%E -0.292%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.94%EV -7.91%E -4.62%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.99%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 11:39 |
| Pinnacle | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.76%EV -2.00%E -0.429%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.23%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.01%EV -3.24%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.05%E -0.663%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.98%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.05%E -0.663%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.99%EV -4.10%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.67%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.34%EV -5.49%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -5.21%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.16%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Betsson | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.14%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.27%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Everygame | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.74%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Unibet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:01 |
| Casumo | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| betPARX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 14:53 |
| BetUS | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -9.37%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -10.43%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -10.43%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.77%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -7.37%E -4.28%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -5.75%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -16.02%E -4.78%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.44%E -4.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Bet Right | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -9.52%E -5.67%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -11.48%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -22.29%E -7.19%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -12.53%E -3.02%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -12.21%E -7.49%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -13.59%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -7.91%E -4.62%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -18.53%E -5.70%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 13:00 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.02%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -15.70%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.42%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |