Language:English
IK Start v Rosenborg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Start (Local)
Prediction 30.48%3.28fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.55%30.51%30.39%31.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.2236.36%33.29%33.33%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosenborg (Visit)
Prediction 42.49%2.35fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.66%42.54%42.48%44.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.192.3048.78%45.97%45.66%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.508%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.67%26.95%27.14%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.403.6530.77%29.41%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Start (Local): 30.48%; Rosenborg (Visit): 42.49%; Draw: 27.03%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -1.85%E -0.574%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 13:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.21%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.20%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -1.35%E -0.369%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 07:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 13:25 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 13:30 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 13:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.39%EV -7.56%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 13:34 |
| 1xBet | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -7.64%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 13:50 |
| GTbets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.70%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 06:30 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 13:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.63%EV -9.50%E -4.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.70%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 13:35 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 06:30 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 06:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.13%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.65%E -5.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -16.17%E -5.88%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-16 01:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |