The School of Odds

IK Start v Rosenborg

2026-07-18 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IK Start (Local)

Prediction 32.17%3.11fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.593%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.08%32.18%32.26%33.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.803.0739%35%36%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rosenborg (Visit)

Prediction 41.20%2.43fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.19%41.19%41.08%42.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3248%45%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.544%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.63%26.65%27.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.463.7031%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.08%EV -1.23%E -0.400%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.48%E -2.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 12:00
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.57%EV -2.84%E -0.939%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.64%EV -5.66%E -2.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -5.20%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 11:59
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -4.12%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 11:59
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -4.12%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 11:59
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -8.13%E -3.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.33%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 11:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.62%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -1.47%E -0.397%K -0.544%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 12:00
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.62%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -1.47%E -0.397%K -0.544%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 12:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-13 11:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 11:59
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -8.31%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.68%EV -4.42%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 10:14
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 10:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 10:15
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 10:15
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 10:15
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 10:14
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -7.72%E -3.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 10:14
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-13 10:13
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -11.43%E -5.32%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-13 10:14
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 32.70%EV -13.78%E -5.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.14%EV -12.25%E -5.75%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-13 10:14
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -14.74%E -5.56%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.08%EV -11.43%E -5.32%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-13 10:15
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -16.35%E -6.29%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -11.43%E -5.32%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-13 10:14
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.48%EV -17.96%E -7.04%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.65%EV -13.49%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%17.1%2026-07-13 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%7.4%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%7.4%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%7.4%2026-07-13 12:00
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 31.53%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.19%15.7%2026-07-13 12:00