La escuela de los momios

IK Start v Rosenborg

Inicio: 2026-07-18 14:04 UTC

Final: IK Start 0–3 Rosenborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Start (Local)

Predicción 30.48%3.28momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.574%
Kelly -0.833%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.55%30.51%30.39%31.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.2236.36%33.29%33.33%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Predicción 42.49%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.988%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.66%42.54%42.48%44.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.192.3048.78%45.97%45.66%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.03%3.70momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.369%
Kelly -0.508%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.67%26.95%27.14%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.403.403.6530.77%29.41%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -1.85%E -0.574%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:50
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:50
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:50
Coolbet3.11I 32.15%NM 31.21%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.20%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -1.35%E -0.369%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 07:29
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 13:10
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 13:45
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 13:35
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 13:10
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 13:25
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:30
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:50
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:50
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:45
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.39%EV -7.56%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 13:34
1xBet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -7.64%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 13:50
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.70%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 11:55
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 06:30
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:35
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:40
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:40
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.63%EV -9.50%E -4.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:10
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 13:45
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 13:34
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.70%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:10
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 13:35
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 06:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 06:30
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 06:29
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-18 13:15
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 13:35
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.13%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 13:10
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.65%E -5.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-18 13:40
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -16.17%E -5.88%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-16 01:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-07-18 13:50
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-07-18 13:55