Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Start v Rosenborg

Início: 2026-07-18 14:04 UTC

Final: IK Start 0–3 Rosenborg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Start (Local)

Previsão 30.48%3.28odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -0.574%
Kelly -0.833%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.55%30.51%30.39%31.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.003.003.2236.36%33.29%33.33%31.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Previsão 42.49%2.35odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -0.988%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.66%42.54%42.48%44.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.192.3048.78%45.97%45.66%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.03%3.70odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -0.369%
Kelly -0.508%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.67%26.95%27.14%28.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.403.403.6530.77%29.41%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IK Start (Local): 30.48%; Rosenborg (Visitante): 42.49%; Empate: 27.03%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.70. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.65, com valor esperado de -1.35%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -1.85%E -0.574%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.31%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -5.13%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:50
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:50
Coolbet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.21%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.20%EV -2.27%E -0.988%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -1.35%E -0.369%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 07:29
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 13:10
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 13:10
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 13:25
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:30
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:50
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:50
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.39%EV -7.56%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 13:34
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -7.64%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 13:50
GTbets🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.70%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 11:55
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 06:30
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:35
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:40
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.63%EV -9.50%E -4.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:10
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.70%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 13:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 06:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 06:30
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.81%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 06:29
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-18 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.13%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 13:10
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.65%E -5.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-18 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -16.17%E -5.88%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-16 01:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-07-18 13:50
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-07-18 13:55