Language:English
IK Start v Fredrikstad FK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Start (Local)
Prediction 47.26%2.12fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.13%47.24%47.28%48.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.971.962.0853.76%50.75%51.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fredrikstad FK (Visit)
Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV +0.324%
Edge +0.084%
Kelly +0.113%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%25.98%25.80%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.503.8832.26%28.57%28.57%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.89%3.72fair odd
EV +0.823%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.299%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.78%26.92%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.443.7531.75%29.24%29.07%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Start (Local): 47.26%; Fredrikstad FK (Visit): 25.86%; Draw: 26.89%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.823%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.72%EV -1.71%E -0.820%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV +0.823%E +0.219%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 15:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.66%EV -4.07%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.39%EV -1.49%E -0.390%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -3.48%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.16%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.13%EV -5.09%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.57%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.85%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.36%EV -12.10%E -6.51%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.30%EV -8.05%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 15:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 15:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -11.16%E -5.93%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -10.21%E -5.37%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 15:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.63%E -6.22%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 15:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -17.26%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 15:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -17.26%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 15:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.26%EV -10.68%E -5.65%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.84%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 15:55 |
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