Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start v Fredrikstad FK

2026-08-08 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start (Local)

Prediction 41.51%2.41fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.76%41.82%41.41%44.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.122.3250.00%46.41%47.17%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visit)

Prediction 30.68%3.26fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.829%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.87%30.55%30.71%31.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.053.053.2036.36%32.77%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.64%27.88%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.403.5031.75%29.75%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Start (Local): 41.51%; Fredrikstad FK (Visit): 30.68%; Draw: 27.81%. For Fredrikstad FK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -1.82%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 16:14
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 16:15
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.39%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.65%EV -4.28%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.96%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 17:20
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.31%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 17:20
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 21:55
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.11%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 17:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 16:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 17:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.68%E -3.95%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 17:24
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.68%E -3.95%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 16:29
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.68%E -3.95%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 17:15
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 41.39%EV -9.09%E -4.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:19
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 16:29
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:09
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:09
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:09
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 16:24
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 16:24
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.64%EV -11.56%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 16:18
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 16:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -14.08%E -6.80%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 16:10
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -14.08%E -6.80%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 16:09
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -14.91%E -7.27%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-01 16:25
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.91%EV -14.91%E -7.27%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -15.63%E -5.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-01 16:29
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -16.98%E -8.49%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-01 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.