Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Start v Fredrikstad FK

Início: 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC

Final: IK Start 0–1 Fredrikstad FK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Start (Local)

Previsão 47.26%2.12odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.820%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.13%47.24%47.28%48.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.861.971.962.0853.76%50.75%51.02%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)

Previsão 25.86%3.87odd justa
EV +0.324%
Vantagem +0.084%
Kelly +0.113%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.91%25.98%25.80%27.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.503.503.8832.26%28.57%28.57%25.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.89%3.72odd justa
EV +0.823%
Vantagem +0.219%
Kelly +0.299%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%26.78%26.92%27.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.423.443.7531.75%29.24%29.07%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IK Start (Local): 47.26%; Fredrikstad FK (Visitante): 25.86%; Empate: 26.89%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.72. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.823%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.72%EV -1.71%E -0.820%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV +0.823%E +0.219%K +0.299%G +0.002%2.9%2026-08-08 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 15:40
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:10
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.66%EV -4.07%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.39%EV -1.49%E -0.390%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -3.48%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 15:54
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 15:54
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 15:54
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.16%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.13%EV -5.09%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 15:04
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:24
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 15:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 15:24
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:39
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.57%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.85%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.36%EV -12.10%E -6.51%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.30%EV -8.05%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 15:33
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 15:43
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 15:44
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -11.16%E -5.93%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -10.21%E -5.37%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 15:25
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 15:05
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 15:30
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.63%E -6.22%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:15
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -17.26%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -17.26%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.26%EV -10.68%E -5.65%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.84%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-08-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-08-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-08-08 15:55
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-08 15:55
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%1.6%2026-08-08 15:55