Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Start v Fredrikstad FK

2026-08-08 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Start (Local)

Previsão 41.51%2.41odd justa
EV -3.70%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.76%41.82%41.41%44.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.122.3250.00%46.41%47.17%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)

Previsão 30.68%3.26odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -0.570%
Kelly -0.829%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.87%30.55%30.71%31.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.053.053.2036.36%32.77%32.79%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.81%3.60odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -0.761%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%27.64%27.88%28.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.363.403.5031.75%29.75%29.41%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: IK Start (Local): 41.51%; Fredrikstad FK (Visitante): 30.68%; Empate: 27.81%. Para Fredrikstad FK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.26. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.20, com valor esperado de -1.82%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 16:14
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 16:15
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.39%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.65%EV -4.28%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.96%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 17:20
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.31%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 17:20
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 21:55
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.11%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 17:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 16:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 17:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.68%E -3.95%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 17:24
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.68%E -3.95%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 16:29
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.68%E -3.95%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 17:15
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 41.39%EV -9.09%E -4.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:19
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 16:29
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:10
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:09
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:09
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.82%E -0.570%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:09
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -12.00%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 16:24
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 16:24
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.64%EV -11.56%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 16:18
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 16:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -12.83%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -14.08%E -6.80%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 16:10
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -14.08%E -6.80%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 16:09
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -14.91%E -7.27%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-01 16:25
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.91%EV -14.91%E -7.27%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -15.63%E -5.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-01 16:29
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -16.98%E -8.49%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-01 16:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.