Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Start v Fredrikstad FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC

Score final : IK Start 0–1 Fredrikstad FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Start (Local)

Prévision 47.26%2.12cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.820%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.13%47.24%47.28%48.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.861.971.962.0853.76%50.75%51.02%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.86%3.87cote équitable
EV +0.324%
Avantage +0.084%
Kelly +0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.91%25.98%25.80%27.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.503.8832.26%28.57%28.57%25.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.89%3.72cote équitable
EV +0.823%
Avantage +0.219%
Kelly +0.299%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%26.78%26.92%27.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.423.443.7531.75%29.24%29.07%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IK Start (Local) : 47.26% ; Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur) : 25.86% ; Match nul : 26.89%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.72. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +0.823%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.72%EV -1.71%E -0.820%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV +0.823%E +0.219%K +0.299%G +0.002%2.9%2026-08-08 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 15:40
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV +0.324%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -2.94%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:10
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.66%EV -4.07%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.39%EV -1.49%E -0.390%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -3.48%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 15:54
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 15:54
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 15:54
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.16%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.13%EV -5.09%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 15:04
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:24
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 15:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 15:24
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:39
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.57%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.85%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.36%EV -12.10%E -6.51%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.30%EV -8.05%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 15:33
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 15:43
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 15:44
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -11.16%E -5.93%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -10.21%E -5.37%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 15:25
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 15:05
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 15:30
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -6.90%E -3.50%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.97%E -4.91%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.63%E -6.22%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:15
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -17.26%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -17.26%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.26%EV -10.68%E -5.65%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.84%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-08-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-08-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-08-08 15:55
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-08 15:55
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%1.6%2026-08-08 15:55