The School of Odds

HamKam v Tromso

2026-07-18 12:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

HamKam (Local)

Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.485%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.19%27.40%28.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.303.6033%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tromso (Visit)

Prediction 43.98%2.27fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.61%43.91%44.13%45.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.072.062.2052%48%49%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV -0.886%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.362%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.99%28.90%28.46%30.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.4533%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -1.75%E -0.485%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 11:59
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 26.44%EV -2.57%E -0.719%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.91%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.65%EV -11.52%E -3.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 12:00
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.80%EV -2.84%E -0.797%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 11:59
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -8.52%E -4.10%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 10:14
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -10.37%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 11:59
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -0.886%E -0.257%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 12:00
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -0.886%E -0.257%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 12:00
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.13%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 11:59
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.13%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 11:59
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 11:59
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 10:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 10:15
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 10:15
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 11:59
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 11:59
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 11:59
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -8.52%E -4.10%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 11:59
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 11:59
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 11:58
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -9.40%E -4.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 12:00
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.968%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 10:14
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -5.20%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-13 10:13
Betclic (FR)3.23I 30.96%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.54%EV -13.36%E -6.78%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 11:59
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.92%E -6.53%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 11:59
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -14.03%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-13 12:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -14.24%E -7.30%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-13 10:14
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.33%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.81%EV -14.68%E -7.57%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.86%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%14.0%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 30.90%2.16I 46.30%NM 39.48%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.61%17.3%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 30.90%2.16I 46.30%NM 39.48%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.61%17.3%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 29.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 37.58%2.46I 40.65%NM 33.00%23.2%2026-07-13 12:00