Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

HamKam v Tromso

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC

Final: HamKam 1–4 Tromso

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HamKam (Local)

Prediction 23.82%4.20fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.346%
Kelly +0.452%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.66%23.84%23.82%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.853.904.2628.17%25.99%25.64%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tromso (Visit)

Prediction 48.75%2.05fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.56%48.72%48.70%49.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.25%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.43%3.65fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.45%27.48%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.5533.33%30.28%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HamKam (Local): 23.82%; Tromso (Visit): 48.75%; Draw: 27.43%. For HamKam (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.70%EV +1.48%E +0.346%K +0.452%G +0.007%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 11:50
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.35%EV -2.64%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 11:05
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:35
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:49
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:35
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:50
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.81%E -5.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:45
1xBet3.91I 25.58%NM 24.32%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 11:45
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 11:50
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
GTbets3.88I 25.77%NM 24.31%EV -7.58%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.87%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.82%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:55
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.70%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:45
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.80%EV -11.76%E -6.49%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:03
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:15
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:45
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 11:50
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:40
betano_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:40
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:15
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.81%E -5.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 11:50
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -11.76%E -6.49%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 11:35
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.32%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:10
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 11:45
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.84%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -17.72%E -5.91%K -8.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 11:45
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:05
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -12.24%E -6.80%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:50
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -15.44%E -4.35%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.27%E -6.19%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:50
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-07-18 11:50