La escuela de los momios

HamKam v Tromso

Inicio: 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC

Final: HamKam 1–4 Tromso

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

HamKam (Local)

Predicción 23.82%4.20momio equitativo
EV +1.48%
Ventaja +0.346%
Kelly +0.452%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.66%23.84%23.82%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.853.904.2628.17%25.99%25.64%23.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tromso (Visitante)

Predicción 48.75%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.56%48.72%48.70%49.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.25%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.43%3.65momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.09%27.45%27.48%29.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.303.5533.33%30.28%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.70%EV +1.48%E +0.346%K +0.452%G +0.007%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 11:50
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.35%EV -2.64%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 11:05
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:35
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:49
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:35
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:50
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.81%E -5.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:45
1xBet3.91I 25.58%NM 24.32%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 11:45
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 11:50
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
GTbets3.88I 25.77%NM 24.31%EV -7.58%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.87%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.82%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:55
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.70%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:45
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.80%EV -11.76%E -6.49%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:03
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:15
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:45
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 11:50
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:40
betano_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:40
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:15
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.81%E -5.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 11:50
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -11.76%E -6.49%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 11:35
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.32%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:10
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 11:45
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.84%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -17.72%E -5.91%K -8.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 11:45
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:05
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -12.24%E -6.80%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:50
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -15.44%E -4.35%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.27%E -6.19%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:50
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-07-18 11:50