L’École des cotes

HamKam v Tromso

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC

Score final : HamKam 1–4 Tromso

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HamKam (Local)

Prévision 23.82%4.20cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.346%
Kelly +0.452%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.66%23.84%23.82%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.853.904.2628.17%25.99%25.64%23.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tromso (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.75%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.56%48.72%48.70%49.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.25%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.43%3.65cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.09%27.45%27.48%29.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.303.5533.33%30.28%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.70%EV +1.48%E +0.346%K +0.452%G +0.007%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.34%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 11:50
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.35%EV -2.64%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 11:05
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 11:55
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:35
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 11:49
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:35
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:50
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.81%E -5.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:45
1xBet3.91I 25.58%NM 24.32%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 11:45
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:45
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 11:50
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
GTbets3.88I 25.77%NM 24.31%EV -7.58%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.87%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.82%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:55
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.29%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.70%EV -4.44%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:45
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 23.53%EV -8.77%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.80%EV -11.76%E -6.49%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:03
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:15
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:45
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -14.98%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 11:50
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:40
betano_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:40
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:15
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.81%E -5.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 11:50
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.67%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -11.76%E -6.49%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 11:35
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.32%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:10
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.24%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 11:45
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.86%E -3.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.84%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -17.72%E -5.91%K -8.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 11:45
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:05
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:05
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.25%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -12.24%E -6.80%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-18 11:50
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -15.44%E -4.35%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.27%E -6.19%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:45
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-18 11:50
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-07-18 11:50