Language:English
Fredrikstad FK v Vålerenga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fredrikstad FK (Local)
Prediction 35.25%2.84fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.26%35.35%35.24%38.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.542.552.7542.92%39.36%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vålerenga (Visit)
Prediction 38.28%2.61fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.931%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.83%38.24%38.25%39.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.5544.44%40.90%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.41%26.50%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.473.503.7033.33%28.80%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fredrikstad FK (Local): 35.25%; Vålerenga (Visit): 38.28%; Draw: 26.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -2.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.31%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.08%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.61%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.32%EV -3.42%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -3.14%E -1.24%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.44%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -5.05%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.19%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.66%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.89%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.07%E -0.559%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 34.59%EV -9.06%E -3.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -13.09%E -5.77%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -9.48%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.44%EV -9.42%E -3.66%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.61%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.94%EV -4.45%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 14:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.26%E -3.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.26%E -3.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -13.65%E -5.57%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -11.94%E -5.19%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.60%E -6.87%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-04-12 14:12 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -16.11%E -6.77%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.93%EV -17.87%E -7.67%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.07%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |