La escuela de los momios

Fredrikstad FK v Vålerenga

Inicio: 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Fredrikstad FK 1–1 Vålerenga

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Predicción 35.25%2.84momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.26%35.35%35.24%38.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.542.552.7542.92%39.36%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vålerenga (Visitante)

Predicción 38.28%2.61momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.931%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.83%38.24%38.25%39.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.5544.44%40.90%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.47%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.559%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.41%26.50%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.473.503.7033.33%28.80%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.31%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.08%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.61%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.32%EV -3.42%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -3.14%E -1.24%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.44%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -5.05%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 14:00
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.19%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.66%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 14:20
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 14:19
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.89%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:00
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:00
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:01
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 14:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.07%E -0.559%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:20
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.59%EV -9.06%E -3.51%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -13.09%E -5.77%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -9.48%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 14:20
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.44%EV -9.42%E -3.66%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.61%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.94%EV -4.45%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 14:18
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:20
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.26%E -3.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.26%E -3.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 14:01
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -13.65%E -5.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:24
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -11.94%E -5.19%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.60%E -6.87%K -10.30%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-12 14:12
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -16.11%E -6.77%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 14:20
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.93%EV -17.87%E -7.67%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.07%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-04-12 14:20