L’École des cotes

Fredrikstad FK v Vålerenga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Score final : Fredrikstad FK 1–1 Vålerenga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prévision 35.25%2.84cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.26%35.35%35.24%38.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.542.552.7542.92%39.36%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vålerenga (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.28%2.61cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.931%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.83%38.24%38.25%39.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.452.5544.44%40.90%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.47%3.78cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -0.766%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.41%26.50%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.473.503.7033.33%28.80%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.31%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.08%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.61%EV -3.39%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.32%EV -3.42%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -3.14%E -1.24%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.44%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -5.05%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 14:00
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.19%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.66%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 14:20
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 14:19
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.89%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:00
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:00
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:01
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 14:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.07%E -0.559%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:20
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.59%EV -9.06%E -3.51%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -13.09%E -5.77%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -9.48%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 14:20
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.44%EV -9.42%E -3.66%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.61%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.94%EV -4.45%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 14:18
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.12%E -3.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:20
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.26%E -3.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.26%E -3.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.66%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 14:01
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -13.65%E -5.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.86%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.35%E -5.91%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:24
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -2.37%E -0.931%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -11.94%E -5.19%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.60%E -6.87%K -10.30%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-12 14:12
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -16.11%E -6.77%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -4.29%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 14:20
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.93%EV -17.87%E -7.67%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.07%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-04-12 14:20