Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK v Sandefjord

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 14:00 UTC

Final: Fredrikstad FK 1–0 Sandefjord

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prediction 40.38%2.48fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.38%40.41%41.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.51%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandefjord (Visit)

Prediction 32.01%3.12fair odd
EV -0.772%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.99%32.05%32.05%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.852.803.1038.02%35.12%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.61%3.62fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%27.57%27.54%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.403.5431.25%29.80%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fredrikstad FK (Local): 40.38%; Sandefjord (Visit): 32.01%; Draw: 27.61%. For Sandefjord (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.772%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.94%EV -1.88%E -0.773%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.51%EV -1.41%E -0.458%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:25
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:24
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:25
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 13:55
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.05%EV -4.70%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.35%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 04:49
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 13:20
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:18
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -5.92%E -2.54%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -6.72%E -2.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -5.25%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.33%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:44
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 13:49
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 13:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 04:29
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 11:28
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 13:55
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.91%EV -8.34%E -3.67%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.99%EV -1.73%E -0.564%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.10%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:55
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.34%E -3.67%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -3.01%E -0.994%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -2.26%E -0.637%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.13%EV -8.74%E -3.87%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 14:04
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:53
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:54
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:10
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.46%EV -9.95%E -4.46%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.46%EV -15.82%E -6.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-01 13:20
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.32%EV -8.13%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.83%EV -10.82%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -15.20%E -7.24%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-28 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-01 13:55

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