Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Fredrikstad FK v Sandefjord

Inicio: 2026-08-01 14:00 UTC

Final: Fredrikstad FK 1–0 Sandefjord

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Predicción 40.38%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.773%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.28%40.38%40.41%41.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.51%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sandefjord (Visitante)

Predicción 32.01%3.12momio equitativo
EV -0.772%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.367%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.99%32.05%32.05%33.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.852.803.1038.02%35.12%35.71%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.637%
Kelly -0.888%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.78%27.57%27.54%28.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.403.5431.25%29.80%29.41%28.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fredrikstad FK (Local): 40.38%; Sandefjord (Visitante): 32.01%; Empate: 27.61%. Para Sandefjord (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.12. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.10, con un valor esperado de -0.772%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.94%EV -1.88%E -0.773%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.51%EV -1.41%E -0.458%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:25
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:24
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:25
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 13:55
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.05%EV -4.70%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.35%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 04:49
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 13:20
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:18
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -5.92%E -2.54%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -6.72%E -2.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -5.25%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.33%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:44
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 13:49
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 13:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 04:29
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 11:28
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 13:55
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.91%EV -8.34%E -3.67%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.99%EV -1.73%E -0.564%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.10%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:55
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.34%E -3.67%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -3.01%E -0.994%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -2.26%E -0.637%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.13%EV -8.74%E -3.87%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 14:04
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:53
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:54
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:10
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.46%EV -9.95%E -4.46%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.46%EV -15.82%E -6.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-01 13:20
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.32%EV -8.13%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.83%EV -10.82%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -15.20%E -7.24%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-28 11:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-01 13:55