La escuela de los momios

Fredrikstad FK v Sandefjord

2026-08-01 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Predicción 43.56%2.30momio equitativo
EV -5.04%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -4.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.25%43.51%43.54%44.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.102.122.1851.02%47.59%47.17%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandefjord (Visitante)

Predicción 30.65%3.26momio equitativo
EV -4.67%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.85%30.68%30.68%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.043.1137.04%33.37%32.89%32.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.79%3.88momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.23%25.81%25.78%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.523.503.7330.77%28.40%28.57%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.76%EV -5.04%E -2.31%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67%EV -4.67%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.57%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 15:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.04%E -2.31%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 16:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.04%E -2.31%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 16:35
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.69%EV -5.91%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.74%EV -5.90%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.57%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 08:05
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.72%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 15:20
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -7.22%E -3.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.82%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:29
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 15:39
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:50
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 14:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 01:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 15:25
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -9.39%E -4.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -9.39%E -4.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 14:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -15.71%E -5.71%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -14.90%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-25 15:24
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.71%EV -12.01%E -5.94%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -13.61%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.88%E -6.44%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:05
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.88%E -6.44%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -11.72%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.80%EV -12.88%E -6.44%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.99%EV -13.10%E -3.89%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.88%E -6.44%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -14.17%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 42.94%EV -14.62%E -7.46%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.17%EV -17.24%E -6.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -16.19%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-25 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 43.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%13.4%2026-07-26 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:45