L’École des cotes

Fredrikstad FK v Sandefjord

2026-08-01 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prévision 43.56%2.30cote équitable
EV -5.04%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -4.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.25%43.51%43.54%44.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.102.122.1851.02%47.59%47.17%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sandefjord (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.65%3.26cote équitable
EV -4.67%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.85%30.68%30.68%31.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.003.043.1137.04%33.37%32.89%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.79%3.88cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.23%25.81%25.78%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.503.7330.77%28.40%28.57%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.76%EV -5.04%E -2.31%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67%EV -4.67%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.57%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 15:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.04%E -2.31%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 16:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.04%E -2.31%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 16:35
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.69%EV -5.91%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.74%EV -5.90%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.57%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 08:05
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.72%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 15:20
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -7.22%E -3.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.82%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:29
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.98%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 14:05
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 15:39
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.04%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:50
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 14:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 01:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 15:25
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -9.39%E -4.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -9.39%E -4.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.51%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 14:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -15.71%E -5.71%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -14.90%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-25 15:24
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.71%EV -12.01%E -5.94%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -13.61%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.88%E -6.44%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -9.58%E -3.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:05
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.88%E -6.44%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -11.72%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.80%EV -12.88%E -6.44%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -11.11%E -3.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.99%EV -13.10%E -3.89%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.88%E -6.44%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -14.17%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 42.94%EV -14.62%E -7.46%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.17%EV -17.24%E -6.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -16.19%E -4.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-25 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 43.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%13.4%2026-07-26 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:45