Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fredrikstad FK v Sandefjord

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 14:00 UTC

Score final : Fredrikstad FK 1–0 Sandefjord

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prévision 40.38%2.48cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.773%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.28%40.38%40.41%41.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.51%43.48%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sandefjord (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.01%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.772%
Avantage -0.249%
Kelly -0.367%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.99%32.05%32.05%33.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.852.803.1038.02%35.12%35.71%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.61%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.637%
Kelly -0.888%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%27.57%27.54%28.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.363.403.5431.25%29.80%29.41%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fredrikstad FK (Local) : 40.38% ; Sandefjord (Visiteur) : 32.01% ; Match nul : 27.61%. Pour Sandefjord (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.12. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.10, pour une espérance de -0.772% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.94%EV -1.88%E -0.773%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.51%EV -1.41%E -0.458%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:25
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:24
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%EV -0.772%E -0.249%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 13:25
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 13:55
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.05%EV -4.70%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.35%EV -1.09%E -0.353%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 04:49
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 13:20
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:18
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -5.92%E -2.54%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -6.72%E -2.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -5.25%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.33%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:44
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 13:49
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 13:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 04:29
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 11:28
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 13:55
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.91%EV -8.34%E -3.67%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.99%EV -1.73%E -0.564%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.10%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:55
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.34%E -3.67%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -3.01%E -0.994%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -2.26%E -0.637%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.13%EV -8.74%E -3.87%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 14:04
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:53
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 13:54
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:10
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.15%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.46%EV -9.95%E -4.46%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.46%EV -15.82%E -6.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-01 13:20
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.32%EV -8.13%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.83%EV -10.82%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -15.20%E -7.24%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.58%E -5.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-28 11:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 13:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-01 13:55