Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK v KFUM

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prediction 41.42%2.41fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.03%41.44%41.40%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.242.252.3450.00%44.55%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KFUM (Visit)

Prediction 29.91%3.34fair odd
EV -0.697%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.300%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%29.95%29.88%30.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.053.053.3236.36%32.78%32.79%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.318%
Kelly -0.448%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.57%28.61%28.73%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.18%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fredrikstad FK (Local): 41.42%; KFUM (Visit): 29.91%; Draw: 28.67%. For KFUM (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.32, with an expected value of -0.697%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -0.697%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -0.697%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:45
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.54%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.95%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 07:50
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:04
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:15
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:45
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 09:05
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 09:05
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.89%EV -4.32%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.23%EV -0.996%E -0.301%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.23%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.89%E -0.577%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%EV -1.10%E -0.318%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:29
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 09:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -6.39%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:19
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:29
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 15:19
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:34
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 09:04
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 09:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.04%E -3.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 15:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:49
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:48
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:19
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 15:19
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-22 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -14.75%E -5.18%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -14.26%E -6.89%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.46%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.14%EV -10.56%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 15:32
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.09%E -7.36%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-22 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -17.16%E -8.58%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -17.75%E -6.45%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 15:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%2.9%2026-03-22 15:50