L’École des cotes

Fredrikstad FK v KFUM

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prévision 41.42%2.41cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.03%41.44%41.40%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.242.252.3450.00%44.55%44.44%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KFUM (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.91%3.34cote équitable
EV -0.697%
Avantage -0.210%
Kelly -0.300%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.95%29.95%29.88%30.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.053.053.3236.36%32.78%32.79%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.67%3.49cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.318%
Kelly -0.448%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.57%28.61%28.73%29.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.18%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -0.697%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:45
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -0.697%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:45
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.54%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.95%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 07:50
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:04
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:04
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:15
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:14
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:15
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:45
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:45
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 09:05
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 09:05
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.89%EV -4.32%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.23%EV -0.996%E -0.301%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 15:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.23%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.89%E -0.577%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%EV -1.10%E -0.318%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:29
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:15
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 09:04
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -6.39%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:18
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:29
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 15:19
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 15:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 09:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 09:04
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 09:05
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.04%E -3.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 15:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:55
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:49
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:48
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:49
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:19
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:35
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 15:19
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-22 15:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -14.75%E -5.18%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -14.26%E -6.89%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.46%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.14%EV -10.56%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 15:32
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.09%E -7.36%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-22 15:35
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -17.16%E -8.58%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -17.75%E -6.45%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 15:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%2.9%2026-03-22 15:50