La escuela de los momios

Fredrikstad FK v KFUM

Inicio: 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Predicción 41.42%2.41momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.03%41.44%41.40%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.242.252.3450.00%44.55%44.44%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KFUM (Visitante)

Predicción 29.91%3.34momio equitativo
EV -0.697%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.300%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.95%29.95%29.88%30.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.053.3236.36%32.78%32.79%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.67%3.49momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.318%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.57%28.61%28.73%29.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.18%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -0.697%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:45
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -0.697%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:45
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.54%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.95%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 07:50
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:04
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:04
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:05
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:15
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:14
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -3.49%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 09:15
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:45
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:45
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 09:05
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 09:05
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.89%EV -4.32%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.23%EV -0.996%E -0.301%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 15:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.23%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.89%E -0.577%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%EV -1.10%E -0.318%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 15:29
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:15
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 09:04
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -6.39%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:18
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:29
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 15:19
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 15:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 09:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 09:04
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 09:05
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.04%E -3.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 15:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:55
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:49
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:48
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:49
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:19
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:35
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 15:19
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-22 15:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -14.75%E -5.18%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -14.26%E -6.89%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.46%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.14%EV -10.56%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 15:32
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.09%E -7.36%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-22 15:35
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -17.16%E -8.58%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -17.75%E -6.45%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 15:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-22 15:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%2.9%2026-03-22 15:50