Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 9.80
assuming max odds 1.32
assuming max odds 6.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fredrikstad FK (Local): 11.40%; Bodø/Glimt (Visit): 72.56%; Draw: 16.04%. For Fredrikstad FK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.77. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.69%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.91%EV +11.69%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.155% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.68%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.41%EV +1.06%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +9.42%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.103% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.59%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +9.42%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.103% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.59%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +2.58%E +0.286%K +0.322%G +0.008% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.57%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.79I 11.38%NM 10.86%EV +0.183%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.15%EV +1.06%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.77I 11.40%NM 10.88%EV -0.045%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.95%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.29I 15.90%NM 15.17%EV +0.895%E +0.142%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.92%EV -0.273%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.96%EV -4.94%E -3.77%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.12%EV -4.88%E -0.823%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.24%EV -5.97%E -0.724%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.04%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -5.36%E -0.909%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.09%EV -5.97%E -0.724%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.58%EV -8.57%E -6.80%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.13I 12.30%NM 11.34%EV -7.34%E -0.903%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.04%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.62%EV -10.98%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -5.36%E -0.909%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.42%EV -9.96%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.75%EV -10.02%E -8.08%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.83%EV -8.57%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -11.10%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.81%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.549%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -11.10%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.81%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.549%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -11.10%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.81%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.549%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -11.67%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -4.94%E -3.77%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.92%EV -13.38%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.31%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -18.19%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -18.19%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -17.37%E -2.40%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.73%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -6.97%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.34%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 12:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.24% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.91% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.24% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.91% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |