Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fredrikstad FK v Bodø/Glimt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : Fredrikstad FK 1–2 Bodø/Glimt

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prévision 11.40%8.77cote équitable
EV +11.69%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.155%

avec la cote maximale 9.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.77%11.34%11.50%12.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.028.009.8014.29%12.48%12.50%10.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.56%1.38cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -3.20%
Kelly -13.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.93%72.50%72.43%74.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.281.291.3280.65%77.85%77.52%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.04%6.23cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.199%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 6.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.15%16.15%16.07%18.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.555.506.3020.00%18.03%18.18%15.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fredrikstad FK (Local) : 11.40% ; Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur) : 72.56% ; Match nul : 16.04%. Pour Fredrikstad FK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.77. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.80, soit une espérance positive de +11.69%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.91%EV +11.69%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.155%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.68%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.41%EV +1.06%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002%3.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betsson🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +9.42%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.103%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.59%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:19
NordicBet🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +9.42%E +0.981%K +1.09%G +0.103%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.59%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +2.58%E +0.286%K +0.322%G +0.008%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.57%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 13:09
BetUS🎯8.79I 11.38%NM 10.86%EV +0.183%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.15%EV +1.06%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Pinnacle🎯8.77I 11.40%NM 10.88%EV -0.045%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.95%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.17%EV +0.895%E +0.142%K +0.169%G +0.002%4.8%2026-09-04 14:35
1xBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.92%EV -0.273%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.96%EV -4.94%E -3.77%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.12%EV -4.88%E -0.823%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:35
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:50
betano_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 12:49
Bet Victor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 12:50
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:20
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.24%EV -5.97%E -0.724%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.04%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -5.36%E -0.909%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:28
SportsBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.09%EV -5.97%E -0.724%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.58%EV -8.57%E -6.80%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:45
GTbets🎯8.13I 12.30%NM 11.34%EV -7.34%E -0.903%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.04%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.62%EV -10.98%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 13:14
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:00
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:09
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -4.22%E -3.20%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:35
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -5.36%E -0.909%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 11:35
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 13:40
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.42%EV -9.96%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.75%EV -10.02%E -8.08%K -41.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.83%EV -8.57%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -11.10%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.81%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.549%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -11.10%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.81%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.549%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:30
BetAnything🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -11.10%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.81%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.549%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:30
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -11.67%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -4.94%E -3.77%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:03
Codere (IT)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.92%EV -13.38%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.31%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -18.19%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 17:10
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -5.67%E -4.36%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -18.19%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 17:09
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.80%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -17.37%E -2.40%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.73%EV -7.85%E -6.18%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -6.97%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.39%E -4.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.34%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 12:44
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.24%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.91%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.7%2026-09-04 14:25
Smarkets◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.24%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.91%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.7%2026-09-04 14:30