The School of Odds

Bodø/Glimt v Lillestrom

2026-07-31 19:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

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Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prediction 70.70%1.41fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -10.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.00%70.65%70.76%72.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.311.3681%77%77%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lillestrom (Visit)

Prediction 12.22%8.18fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +0.594%
Kelly +0.672%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 8.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.99%12.13%12.37%14.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.007.437.508.6017%13%13%12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 17.08%5.85fair odd
EV +0.790%
Edge +0.134%
Kelly +0.161%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.84%17.22%16.88%19.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.705.285.255.9021%19%19%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.85%E -2.83%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV +5.11%E +0.594%K +0.672%G +0.034%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -17.15%E -3.54%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 20:25
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.85%E -2.83%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV +5.11%E +0.594%K +0.672%G +0.034%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -17.15%E -3.54%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 20:25
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.50%EV +1.44%E +0.173%K +0.197%G +0.003%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.74%EV -2.63%E -0.461%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:25
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 71.82%EV -7.39%E -5.64%K -23.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV +0.216%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.71%EV -3.82%E -0.679%K -0.826%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 00:05
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -26.99%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -1.01%E -0.124%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -5.19%E -0.935%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 22:24
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -8.80%E -6.82%K -30.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.23%E -0.278%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV +0.790%E +0.134%K +0.161%G +0.001%7.0%2026-07-24 20:20
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -10.22%E -8.04%K -37.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.23%E -0.278%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -2.63%E -0.461%K -0.559%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 20:19
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.97%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.31%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -7.39%E -5.64%K -23.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 20:40
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -6.68%E -5.06%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.17%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 20:10
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -8.80%E -6.82%K -30.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 20:19
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.63%E -9.30%K -46.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.34%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 20:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.23%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.86%EV -13.23%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -7.75%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:10
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -14.45%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.04%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -14.45%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.17%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 19:10
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -14.45%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.17%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 19:09
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.83%EV -10.92%E -8.67%K -42.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -14.45%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 19:09
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.58%EV -10.92%E -8.67%K -42.01%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.71%EV -15.67%E -2.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.71%EV -15.44%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 19:09
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.45%EV -10.92%E -8.67%K -42.01%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.87%EV -16.89%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.68%EV -15.44%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-24 19:09
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 69.33%EV -11.63%E -9.30%K -46.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -20.56%E -3.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.33%EV -14.59%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 20:20
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.03%EV -10.92%E -8.67%K -42.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.92%EV -23.62%E -3.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.05%EV -12.88%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-24 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.00%EV -12.34%E -9.95%K -51.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.05%EV -26.67%E -4.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.94%EV -19.71%E -4.19%K -5.33%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%13.9%2026-07-24 20:25