Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 12.80
assuming max odds 7.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 77.96%; Lillestrom (Visit): 8.74%; Draw: 13.30%. For Lillestrom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.45. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.83%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.93%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.58%EV +11.83%E +0.924%K +1.00%G +0.119% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV -4.22%E -0.586%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-31 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.01%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 12.51I 7.99%NM 7.68%EV +9.30%E +0.743%K +0.808%G +0.075% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.31%EV +3.77%E +0.483%K +0.554%G +0.021% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.44%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +9.21%E +0.737%K +0.801%G +0.074% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.00%EV -16.19%E -2.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.44%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +9.21%E +0.737%K +0.801%G +0.074% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.00%EV -16.19%E -2.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.01%EV +4.84%E +0.404%K +0.440%G +0.021% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +1.77%E +0.231%K +0.266%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.01%EV +4.84%E +0.404%K +0.440%G +0.021% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +1.77%E +0.231%K +0.266%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.01%EV +4.84%E +0.404%K +0.440%G +0.021% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +1.77%E +0.231%K +0.266%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.09%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.94%EV +2.66%E +0.226%K +0.247%G +0.007% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -4.22%E -0.586%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -7.23%E -6.07%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 18:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.51%E -4.09%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -8.26%E -0.787%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.90%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -8.26%E -0.787%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -0.225%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -10.35%E -9.00%K -68.98%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -8.26%E -0.787%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.16%EV -2.55%E -2.04%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 10.23I 9.78%NM 9.43%EV -10.62%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.41%EV -4.35%E -0.605%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -0.225%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -0.225%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -9.57%E -8.25%K -59.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -10.20%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -9.57%E -8.25%K -59.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -10.20%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -9.57%E -8.25%K -59.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -10.20%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -11.13%E -9.76%K -79.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.67%EV -14.81%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -3.55%E -0.490%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.56%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.89%EV -15.69%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV +1.10%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.67%EV -7.23%E -6.07%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -16.12%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.82%EV -12.20%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.06%EV -18.85%E -3.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -18.85%E -3.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -18.85%E -3.09%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.21%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.20%EV -8.21%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -21.37%E -2.37%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -21.37%E -2.37%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -20.18%E -3.36%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.09%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.76%EV -21.37%E -2.37%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -22.84%E -3.94%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.28%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -10.20%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.80% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.80% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.58% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.15% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.68% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.46% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.86% | 2.9% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
No published comments yet.