La escuela de los momios

Bodø/Glimt v Lillestrom

2026-07-31 19:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Predicción 70.65%1.42momio equitativo
EV -5.33%
Ventaja -3.98%
Kelly -15.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.00%70.64%70.78%72.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.301.301.3480.65%76.83%76.92%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lillestrom (Visitante)

Predicción 12.31%8.12momio equitativo
EV +0.946%
Ventaja +0.115%
Kelly +0.131%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.47%12.38%12.36%14.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.427.508.2016.67%13.48%13.33%12.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.04%5.87momio equitativo
EV +0.549%
Ventaja +0.093%
Kelly +0.112%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.84%16.98%16.86%17.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.335.255.9021.28%18.77%19.05%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.88%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.50%EV +0.946%E +0.115%K +0.131%G +0.001%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.62%EV -8.82%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:44
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.88%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.50%EV +0.946%E +0.115%K +0.131%G +0.001%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.62%EV -8.82%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:44
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 71.82%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.04%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV +0.946%E +0.115%K +0.131%G +0.001%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.71%EV -4.05%E -0.720%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 00:05
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.85%EV -0.901%E -0.112%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.97%EV -4.22%E -0.751%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:43
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV +0.549%E +0.093%K +0.112%G +0.001%7.0%2026-07-24 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 20:39
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -10.28%E -8.09%K -38.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -2.86%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 20:19
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.04%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 23:30
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -3.98%E -0.510%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -3.98%E -0.510%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 16:00
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 71.00%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.59%E -0.593%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -7.97%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:36
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 20:40
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.38%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 20:10
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 20:19
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 20:20
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.90%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -11.36%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -11.38%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 19:15
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.23%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.86%EV -12.60%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -7.97%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.20%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.46%EV -12.60%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -13.08%E -2.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 19:05
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.38%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 19:10
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.38%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 19:09
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.83%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 19:09
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.58%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.71%EV -15.06%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.71%EV -15.64%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 19:09
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 13:24
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 69.33%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.33%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 20:20
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.03%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.92%EV -23.06%E -3.69%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.05%EV -13.08%E -2.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-24 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.00%EV -12.40%E -10.00%K -51.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.05%EV -26.14%E -4.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.94%EV -19.90%E -4.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%13.9%2026-07-24 20:25