L’École des cotes

Bodø/Glimt v Lillestrom

2026-07-31 19:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 70.59%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -2.94%
Kelly -11.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.00%70.52%70.64%72.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.301.301.3680.65%76.74%76.92%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lillestrom (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.33%8.11cote équitable
EV +6.02%
Avantage +0.700%
Kelly +0.793%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 8.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.99%12.33%12.42%14.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.447.508.6016.67%13.44%13.33%11.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.08%5.86cote équitable
EV +0.768%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.157%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.84%17.15%16.94%19.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.305.255.9021.28%18.86%19.05%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.99%E -2.94%K -11.10%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV +6.02%E +0.700%K +0.793%G +0.048%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -17.17%E -3.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 20:25
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.99%E -2.94%K -11.10%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV +6.02%E +0.700%K +0.793%G +0.048%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -17.17%E -3.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 20:25
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 71.82%EV -7.52%E -5.74%K -24.27%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV +1.09%E +0.133%K +0.152%G +0.002%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.71%EV -3.84%E -0.683%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 00:05
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -5.41%E -4.03%K -15.90%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.85%EV -0.757%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.97%EV -4.01%E -0.714%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:43
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -1.37%E -0.172%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV +0.768%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001%7.0%2026-07-24 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -1.37%E -0.172%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 20:39
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -10.35%E -8.15%K -38.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.37%E -0.172%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -2.65%E -0.465%K -0.563%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 20:19
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -7.52%E -5.74%K -24.27%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -2.61%E -0.330%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 23:30
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -3.84%E -0.492%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.27%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -3.84%E -0.492%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 16:00
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 71.00%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.46%E -0.575%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:36
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:09
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.11%E -4.60%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -7.52%E -5.74%K -24.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 20:40
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -6.82%E -5.17%K -21.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.19%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 20:10
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 20:19
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.76%E -9.41%K -47.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.54%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 20:20
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.90%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -11.24%E -1.56%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -11.19%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 19:15
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.23%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.86%EV -12.47%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.20%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.46%EV -12.47%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -12.90%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 19:05
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -13.70%E -1.96%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -13.70%E -1.96%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.19%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 19:10
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -8.23%E -6.33%K -27.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -13.70%E -1.96%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -11.19%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 19:09
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.83%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -13.70%E -1.96%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 19:09
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.58%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.71%EV -14.93%E -2.16%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.71%EV -15.46%E -3.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 19:09
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -8.94%E -6.93%K -30.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -19.87%E -3.06%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 13:24
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 69.33%EV -11.76%E -9.41%K -47.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -19.87%E -3.06%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.33%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 20:20
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.03%EV -11.05%E -8.77%K -42.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.92%EV -22.95%E -3.67%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.05%EV -12.90%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-24 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.00%EV -12.47%E -10.05%K -51.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.05%EV -26.03%E -4.34%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.94%EV -19.73%E -4.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-24 19:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%13.9%2026-07-24 20:25