Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bodø/Glimt v Lillestrom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-31 19:00 UTC

Score final : Bodø/Glimt 4–0 Lillestrom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 77.96%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -10.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.09%77.81%78.01%80.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.201.201.2587.72%83.38%83.33%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lillestrom (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.74%11.45cote équitable
EV +11.83%
Avantage +0.924%
Kelly +1.00%
Croissance +0.119%

avec la cote maximale 12.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.56%8.77%8.66%10.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.1510.0012.8011.76%9.85%10.00%7.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 13.30%7.52cote équitable
EV +3.77%
Avantage +0.483%
Kelly +0.554%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 7.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.31%13.42%13.33%15.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.726.607.8017.39%14.88%15.15%12.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bodø/Glimt (Local) : 77.96% ; Lillestrom (Visiteur) : 8.74% ; Match nul : 13.30%. Pour Lillestrom (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.45. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.80, soit une espérance positive de +11.83%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.93%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.58%EV +11.83%E +0.924%K +1.00%G +0.119%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV -4.22%E -0.586%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.01%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%12.51I 7.99%NM 7.68%EV +9.30%E +0.743%K +0.808%G +0.075%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.31%EV +3.77%E +0.483%K +0.554%G +0.021%4.1%2026-07-31 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.44%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.22%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +9.21%E +0.737%K +0.801%G +0.074%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.00%EV -16.19%E -2.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 18:35
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.44%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.22%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +9.21%E +0.737%K +0.801%G +0.074%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.00%EV -16.19%E -2.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.01%EV +4.84%E +0.404%K +0.440%G +0.021%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +1.77%E +0.231%K +0.266%G +0.005%4.0%2026-07-31 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.01%EV +4.84%E +0.404%K +0.440%G +0.021%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +1.77%E +0.231%K +0.266%G +0.005%4.0%2026-07-31 18:44
BetAnything🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.01%EV +4.84%E +0.404%K +0.440%G +0.021%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +1.77%E +0.231%K +0.266%G +0.005%4.0%2026-07-31 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.09%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.94%EV +2.66%E +0.226%K +0.247%G +0.007%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -4.22%E -0.586%K -0.680%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -7.23%E -6.07%K -38.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:45
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:44
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:43
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -3.89%E -0.354%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -23.51%E -4.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -8.26%E -0.787%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 18:54
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.90%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -8.26%E -0.787%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -0.225%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -10.35%E -9.00%K -68.98%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -8.26%E -0.787%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-31 18:50
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.16%EV -2.55%E -2.04%K -10.20%G +0.000%10.23I 9.78%NM 9.43%EV -10.62%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.41%EV -4.35%E -0.605%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 18:50
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -0.225%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 18:44
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -0.225%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 18:44
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 17:59
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-31 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -9.57%E -8.25%K -59.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -10.20%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-31 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -9.57%E -8.25%K -59.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -10.20%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-31 18:44
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -9.57%E -8.25%K -59.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -10.20%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-31 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -11.13%E -9.76%K -79.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.63%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-31 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.22%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.67%EV -14.81%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -3.55%E -0.490%K -0.568%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 18:54
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.56%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.89%EV -15.69%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV +1.10%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-31 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.67%EV -7.23%E -6.07%K -38.04%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -16.12%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.82%EV -12.20%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-31 18:44
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:04
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:04
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.40%EV -4.11%E -3.34%K -17.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -16.85%E -2.70%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -4.89%E -4.01%K -22.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.06%EV -18.85%E -3.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -18.85%E -3.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-31 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -5.67%E -4.68%K -26.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -18.85%E -3.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-31 18:04
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.21%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.20%EV -8.21%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 18:14
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -17.00%E -1.79%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -21.37%E -2.37%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -6.88%E -0.982%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.01%E -6.79%K -44.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -21.37%E -2.37%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -20.18%E -3.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-31 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.09%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.76%EV -21.37%E -2.37%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -22.84%E -3.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-31 18:05
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:54
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -6.45%E -5.37%K -32.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.53%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.28%EV -8.79%E -7.51%K -51.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -25.74%E -3.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -10.20%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-31 18:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.80%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%0.6%2026-07-31 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.80%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%0.6%2026-07-31 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.58%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%0.9%2026-07-31 18:55
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.15%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%1.0%2026-07-31 18:55
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.68%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.46%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.86%2.9%2026-07-31 18:55