Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt v Aalesund

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: Bodø/Glimt 3–0 Aalesund

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prediction 83.92%1.19fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -4.58%
Kelly -39.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.08%83.96%84.02%86.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.111.111.1394.34%90.41%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Visit)

Prediction 6.14%16.29fair odd
EV +47.33%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +2.06%
Growth +0.974%

assuming max odds 24.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.94%6.02%6.18%7.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5014.9214.0024.008.70%6.70%7.14%4.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 9.94%10.06fair odd
EV +9.35%
Edge +0.850%
Kelly +0.935%
Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.73%10.02%9.79%12.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.778.5011.0013.33%11.41%11.76%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 83.92%; Aalesund (Visit): 6.14%; Draw: 9.94%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.29. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 24.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +47.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.19%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.94%EV +47.33%E +1.97%K +2.06%G +0.974%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.87%EV -13.51%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.19%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.94%EV +47.33%E +1.97%K +2.06%G +0.974%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.87%EV -13.51%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.47%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.80%EV +22.78%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.273%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.73%EV +9.35%E +0.850%K +0.935%G +0.087%4.2%2026-04-18 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV +16.64%E +0.876%K +0.924%G +0.154%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV +4.38%E +0.417%K +0.461%G +0.020%7.4%2026-04-18 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.65%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +16.64%E +0.876%K +0.924%G +0.154%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 11:55
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.38%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%18.80I 5.32%NM 5.04%EV +15.41%E +0.820%K +0.866%G +0.133%9.89I 10.11%NM 9.58%EV -1.68%E -0.170%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:55
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.59%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:09
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.06%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:54
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.23%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%16.60I 6.02%NM 5.75%EV +1.91%E +0.115%K +0.122%G +0.002%10.58I 9.45%NM 9.02%EV +5.18%E +0.489%K +0.541%G +0.028%4.8%2026-04-18 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.72%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -1.78%E -0.111%K -0.118%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:20
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.71%EV -1.78%E -0.111%K -0.118%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 11:49
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.22%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:35
betfred_uk🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:30
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:39
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.46%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 11:39
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.76%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.53%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -3.07%E -0.315%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:10
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:09
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:09
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:25
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.46%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -18.48%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 82.28%EV -11.04%E -10.42%K -184.08%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.46%EV -17.12%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.25%EV -22.96%E -2.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 11:33
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.43%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:10
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.37%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 10:40
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 11:24
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.64%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 81.76%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.73%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.51%EV -24.45%E -3.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 11:35
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 81.37%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.64%EV -29.40%E -2.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.99%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 87.37%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%0.4%2026-04-18 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.59%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.52%2.2%2026-04-18 11:55