La escuela de los momios

Bodø/Glimt v Aalesund

Inicio: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: Bodø/Glimt 3–0 Aalesund

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Predicción 83.92%1.19momio equitativo
EV -5.17%
Ventaja -4.58%
Kelly -39.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.08%83.96%84.02%86.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.111.111.1394.34%90.41%90.09%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Aalesund (Visitante)

Predicción 6.14%16.29momio equitativo
EV +47.33%
Ventaja +1.97%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.974%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 24.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.94%6.02%6.18%7.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.5014.9214.0024.008.70%6.70%7.14%4.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 9.94%10.06momio equitativo
EV +9.35%
Ventaja +0.850%
Kelly +0.935%
Crecimiento +0.087%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.73%10.02%9.79%12.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.778.5011.0013.33%11.41%11.76%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.19%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.94%EV +47.33%E +1.97%K +2.06%G +0.974%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.87%EV -13.51%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:55
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.19%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.94%EV +47.33%E +1.97%K +2.06%G +0.974%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.87%EV -13.51%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:55
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.47%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.80%EV +22.78%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.273%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.73%EV +9.35%E +0.850%K +0.935%G +0.087%4.2%2026-04-18 11:20
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV +16.64%E +0.876%K +0.924%G +0.154%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV +4.38%E +0.417%K +0.461%G +0.020%7.4%2026-04-18 11:55
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 83.65%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +16.64%E +0.876%K +0.924%G +0.154%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 11:55
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.38%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%18.80I 5.32%NM 5.04%EV +15.41%E +0.820%K +0.866%G +0.133%9.89I 10.11%NM 9.58%EV -1.68%E -0.170%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:55
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.59%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:09
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:10
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 85.06%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:54
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 85.23%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%16.60I 6.02%NM 5.75%EV +1.91%E +0.115%K +0.122%G +0.002%10.58I 9.45%NM 9.02%EV +5.18%E +0.489%K +0.541%G +0.028%4.8%2026-04-18 11:55
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 84.72%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -1.78%E -0.111%K -0.118%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:20
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.71%EV -1.78%E -0.111%K -0.118%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 11:49
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.22%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:35
betfred_uk1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:30
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:55
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:39
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 84.46%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 11:39
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 83.76%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.53%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -3.07%E -0.315%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 11:54
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:10
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:09
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:09
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:25
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.46%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -18.48%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 82.28%EV -11.04%E -10.42%K -184.08%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.46%EV -17.12%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.25%EV -22.96%E -2.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 11:33
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.43%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:10
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 82.37%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 10:40
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 11:24
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 82.64%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 11:10
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 81.76%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.73%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.51%EV -24.45%E -3.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 11:35
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 81.37%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.64%EV -29.40%E -2.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.99%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 11:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 87.37%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%0.4%2026-04-18 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.59%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.52%2.2%2026-04-18 11:55