L’École des cotes

Bodø/Glimt v Aalesund

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Score final : Bodø/Glimt 3–0 Aalesund

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 83.92%1.19cote équitable
EV -5.17%
Avantage -4.58%
Kelly -39.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.08%83.96%84.02%86.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.111.111.1394.34%90.41%90.09%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.14%16.29cote équitable
EV +47.33%
Avantage +1.97%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.974%

avec la cote maximale 24.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.94%6.02%6.18%7.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.5014.9214.0024.008.70%6.70%7.14%4.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 9.94%10.06cote équitable
EV +9.35%
Avantage +0.850%
Kelly +0.935%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.73%10.02%9.79%12.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.778.5011.0013.33%11.41%11.76%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.19%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.94%EV +47.33%E +1.97%K +2.06%G +0.974%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.87%EV -13.51%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:55
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.19%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.94%EV +47.33%E +1.97%K +2.06%G +0.974%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.87%EV -13.51%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:55
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.47%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.80%EV +22.78%E +1.14%K +1.20%G +0.273%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.73%EV +9.35%E +0.850%K +0.935%G +0.087%4.2%2026-04-18 11:20
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV +16.64%E +0.876%K +0.924%G +0.154%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV +4.38%E +0.417%K +0.461%G +0.020%7.4%2026-04-18 11:55
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 83.65%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +16.64%E +0.876%K +0.924%G +0.154%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 11:55
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.38%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%18.80I 5.32%NM 5.04%EV +15.41%E +0.820%K +0.866%G +0.133%9.89I 10.11%NM 9.58%EV -1.68%E -0.170%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:55
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.59%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:09
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:10
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 85.06%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35%EV +4.36%E +0.257%K +0.273%G +0.012%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 11:54
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 85.23%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%16.60I 6.02%NM 5.75%EV +1.91%E +0.115%K +0.122%G +0.002%10.58I 9.45%NM 9.02%EV +5.18%E +0.489%K +0.541%G +0.028%4.8%2026-04-18 11:55
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 84.72%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -1.78%E -0.111%K -0.118%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:20
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.71%EV -1.78%E -0.111%K -0.118%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 11:49
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.22%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:35
betfred_uk1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:30
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:55
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:39
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 84.46%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.02%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -7.92%E -0.528%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 11:39
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 83.76%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.53%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -3.07%E -0.315%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 11:54
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:10
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:09
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 84.21%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -10.99%E -0.758%K -0.814%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.588%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:09
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:25
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -5.17%E -4.58%K -39.77%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 11:30
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -6.01%E -5.37%K -50.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.46%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -14.05%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -18.48%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 82.28%EV -11.04%E -10.42%K -184.08%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.46%EV -17.12%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.25%EV -22.96%E -2.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 11:33
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -10.53%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.43%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -5.56%E -0.585%K -0.654%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:10
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 82.37%EV -7.69%E -6.99%K -76.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 10:40
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 11:24
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 82.64%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 11:10
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -8.53%E -7.82%K -94.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -25.44%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 81.76%EV -10.21%E -9.54%K -145.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.73%EV -20.19%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.51%EV -24.45%E -3.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 11:35
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -6.85%E -6.17%K -62.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -26.33%E -2.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -15.50%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 81.37%EV -9.37%E -8.67%K -117.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.64%EV -29.40%E -2.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.99%EV -20.47%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 11:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 87.37%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%0.4%2026-04-18 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.06%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-04-18 11:40
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.59%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.52%2.2%2026-04-18 11:55