The School of Odds

Aalesund v Viking FK

2026-07-26 17:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Aalesund (Local)

Prediction 15.77%6.34fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.615%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.24%15.92%15.59%17.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.005.565.506.1420%18%18%16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Viking FK (Visit)

Prediction 63.07%1.59fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.28%63.03%63.27%65.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.361.461.471.5574%68%68%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.16%4.73fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.412%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.39%21.04%21.15%22.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.954.344.354.8025%23%23%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -5.37%E -0.895%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -9.81%E -6.86%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV +1.57%E +0.326%K +0.412%G +0.006%7.4%2026-07-19 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.37%E -0.895%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -9.18%E -6.38%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +0.509%E +0.107%K +0.136%G +0.001%7.2%2026-07-19 09:30
SportsBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -6.95%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.81%E -6.86%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -0.549%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 09:30
1xBet6.14I 16.29%NM 15.52%EV -3.16%E -0.515%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.53%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.95%EV -3.72%E -0.818%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 17:30
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.31%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -9.18%E -6.38%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 09:30
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.26%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.18%E -6.38%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 18:00
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -13.26%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -11.70%E -8.36%K -29.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -4.78%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 09:30
GTbets6.12I 16.34%NM 15.45%EV -3.48%E -0.568%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.45%EV -6.03%E -4.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.10%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 00:05
Marathon Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.37%E -0.895%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.29%E -4.96%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -5.84%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 17:25
LeoVegas5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -10.10%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -9.18%E -6.38%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -6.90%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 17:20
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -14.83%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.37%E -0.895%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -8.55%E -5.90%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -7.96%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 17:15
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -13.26%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.38%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 22:30
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -16.41%E -3.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.01%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 17:20
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -11.68%E -2.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.29%E -4.96%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.01%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 22:31
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -5.37%E -0.895%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.18%E -6.38%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -9.01%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 08:10
NordicBet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.26%EV -7.74%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.36%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -10.07%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 23:40
Betsson5.85I 17.09%NM 16.26%EV -7.74%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.36%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -10.07%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 23:40
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -16.41%E -3.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -10.07%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 17:20
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -16.41%E -3.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -10.07%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 17:20
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -8.52%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -9.18%E -6.38%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 09:40
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.46%EV -16.41%E -3.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.77%EV -12.33%E -8.87%K -31.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-19 08:10
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -21.14%E -4.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.70%E -8.36%K -29.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -11.13%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-19 09:30
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -19.56%E -3.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -9.81%E -6.86%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -13.25%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 17:20
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.64%EV -11.68%E -2.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.00%EV -12.33%E -8.87%K -31.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -13.25%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-19 08:09
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -13.26%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.49%EV -12.33%E -8.87%K -31.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.72%EV -15.36%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-19 08:10
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 16.87%EV -21.14%E -4.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.03%EV -14.23%E -10.46%K -39.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -15.36%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-19 13:35
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -21.14%E -4.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 61.87%EV -14.23%E -10.46%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.30%EV -16.42%E -4.16%K -5.57%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-19 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 15.78%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%13.2%2026-07-19 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 11:30