Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.60
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 4.87
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aalesund (Local): 18.34%; Viking FK (Visit): 61.38%; Draw: 20.28%. For Aalesund (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.45. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.69%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV +2.69%E +0.481%K +0.585%G +0.016% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.02%EV -1.63%E -0.336%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 02:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.83%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -12.79%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.82%EV -0.977%E -0.181%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.80%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.82%EV -0.977%E -0.181%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.80%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 16:21 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -1.89%E -0.354%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -6.70%E -4.41%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.29%EV -3.18%E -0.602%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.89%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV -1.22%E -0.251%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.98%EV -3.18%E -0.602%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.95%EV -3.46%E -0.726%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -3.73%E -0.710%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 16:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.73%E -0.710%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.74%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.74%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.74%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.52%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 16:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -12.84%E -9.04%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.11%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.17I 19.34%NM 17.80%EV -5.19%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.75%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.31%EV -5.56%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.63%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -7.39%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -7.72%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -5.47%E -3.56%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -5.47%E -3.56%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 16:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -3.66%E -0.770%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 17:07 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 16:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 16:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 17:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.14%EV -10.39%E -7.11%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -11.06%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -1.63%E -0.336%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.70%EV -11.06%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.46%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.98%E -2.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.90%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.08%EV -7.72%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.98%E -2.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.94%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.27%EV -9.74%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-26 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.98%E -2.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.90%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -12.90%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -12.90%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.61%E -8.06%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-26 04:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.30%EV -13.81%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -7.32%E -4.85%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 16:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 16:16 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -19.31%E -4.39%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-26 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.33% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.82% | 0.0% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 17:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.76% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |