Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aalesund v Viking FK

Início: 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC

Final: Aalesund 1–1 Viking FK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aalesund (Local)

Previsão 18.34%5.45odd justa
EV +2.69%
Vantagem +0.481%
Kelly +0.585%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.75%18.32%18.38%20.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.095.005.6022.73%19.64%20.00%17.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Viking FK (Visitante)

Previsão 61.38%1.63odd justa
EV -4.25%
Vantagem -2.72%
Kelly -7.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.78%61.38%61.28%62.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.501.501.5670.42%66.71%66.67%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.28%4.93odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.251%
Kelly -0.316%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.50%20.30%20.34%21.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.474.404.8724.39%22.37%22.73%20.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aalesund (Local): 18.34%; Viking FK (Visitante): 61.38%; Empate: 20.28%. Para Aalesund (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.45. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV +2.69%E +0.481%K +0.585%G +0.016%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.02%EV -1.63%E -0.336%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 02:24
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:20
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:25
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:21
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:25
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.98%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 16:20
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +0.857%E +0.156%K +0.190%G +0.002%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.83%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -12.79%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.82%EV -0.977%E -0.181%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.80%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.82%EV -0.977%E -0.181%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.80%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:21
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -1.89%E -0.354%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -6.70%E -4.41%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 17:00
Pinnacle🎯5.28I 18.94%NM 18.29%EV -3.18%E -0.602%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.89%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV -1.22%E -0.251%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 17:00
1xBet🎯5.28I 18.94%NM 17.98%EV -3.18%E -0.602%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.95%EV -3.46%E -0.726%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:10
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -3.73%E -0.710%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.73%E -0.710%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.74%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.74%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:10
BetAnything🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.74%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:10
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.52%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 16:36
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -4.64%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -12.84%E -9.04%K -30.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -16.84%E -4.11%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 16:25
GTbets🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 17.80%EV -5.19%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.75%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 16:30
BetUS🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.31%EV -5.56%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.63%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -7.39%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -7.72%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 16:45
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -5.47%E -3.56%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -5.47%E -3.56%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 16:35
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 16:16
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -3.66%E -0.770%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 17:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 16:35
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 17:07
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 16:25
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 16:34
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 16:10
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 16:14
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 17:01
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.14%EV -10.39%E -7.11%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 16:15
NordicBet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -11.06%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -1.63%E -0.336%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 17:05
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.70%EV -11.06%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.46%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 17:10
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -11.98%E -2.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.90%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.08%EV -7.72%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.98%E -2.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.94%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.27%EV -9.74%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.98%E -2.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 16:50
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.90%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 16:50
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -12.90%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 16:35
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -12.90%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.61%E -8.06%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-26 04:24
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.30%EV -13.81%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -7.32%E -4.85%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:35
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 16:15
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 16:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.65%E -3.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.16%E -6.19%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.18%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 16:16
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -19.31%E -4.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -9.77%E -6.65%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 16:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.82%0.0%2026-07-26 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-07-26 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-07-26 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-07-26 17:10
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52%1.5%2026-07-26 17:10