La escuela de los momios

Aalesund v Viking FK

2026-07-26 17:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Aalesund (Local)

Predicción 17.64%5.67momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +0.395%
Kelly +0.477%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.18%17.59%17.62%19.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.265.305.8022.22%19.01%18.87%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viking FK (Visitante)

Predicción 62.39%1.60momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -6.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.34%62.31%62.36%63.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.501.5571.43%67.48%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.98%5.01momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.594%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.37%20.10%20.02%21.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.504.504.8924.39%22.22%22.22%20.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.29%E +0.395%K +0.477%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.97%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 19:39
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV +0.526%E +0.092%K +0.112%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 01:52
Coolbet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV -1.24%E -0.221%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.02%EV -3.11%E -0.641%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 02:24
Pinnacle5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -1.59%E -0.285%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.16%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.63%EV -2.31%E -0.473%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 03:40
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.10%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 04:09
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 01:54
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.45%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 01:54
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -16.10%E -3.83%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 22:42
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 19:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 01:53
1xBet5.43I 18.42%NM 17.61%EV -4.24%E -0.780%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.09%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.30%EV -5.91%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 03:39
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -4.77%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -13.10%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 17:20
NordicBet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -5.65%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.10%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:45
Betsson5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -5.65%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.10%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:44
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.10%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 03:34
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -14.10%E -3.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 17:20
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -15.10%E -3.55%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 17:20
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -15.10%E -3.55%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 17:20
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 11:25
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.15%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 22:44
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 13:40
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 08:50
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:44
betano_uk5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:39
BetOnline.ag5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 04:09
LowVig.ag5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 04:09
BetAnything5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 04:10
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 03:39
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 22:44
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -10.06%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.55%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.79%EV -9.10%E -2.00%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 17:20
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.06%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.71%EV -10.79%E -7.54%K -25.09%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.71%EV -9.10%E -2.00%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 08:49
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -10.06%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -10.79%E -7.54%K -25.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -18.09%E -4.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 17:20
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 01:44
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 14:45
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 08:50
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -16.10%E -3.83%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 22:44
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.75%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 03:38
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 05:24
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 05:24
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 05:24
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 05:24
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.50%E -3.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 17:20
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.35%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -8.10%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 08:50
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -16.23%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.27%EV -12.66%E -9.04%K -31.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-23 13:05
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.17%EV -20.64%E -4.59%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.76%EV -11.41%E -8.04%K -27.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -14.10%E -3.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-25 08:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.09%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%1.6%2026-07-26 03:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.09%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%1.6%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.09%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%1.6%2026-07-26 03:15
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-07-26 03:40
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%2.3%2026-07-26 03:55