Language:English
Aalesund v Lillestrom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aalesund (Local)
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV +4.48%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.085%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.84%31.05%31.23%32.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.043.003.3537.74%32.94%33.33%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lillestrom (Visit)
Prediction 43.48%2.30fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.89%43.58%43.51%46.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.092.102.2551.81%47.87%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.643%
Kelly -0.869%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.37%25.26%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.603.653.8533.33%27.74%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aalesund (Local): 31.19%; Lillestrom (Visit): 43.48%; Draw: 25.33%. For Aalesund (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -14.34%E -7.28%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV +1.36%E +0.418%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV +1.36%E +0.418%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%EV +0.736%E +0.228%K +0.330%G +0.002% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.73%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -2.48%E -0.643%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -0.199%E -0.062%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.08%E -8.33%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 05:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.91%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -7.29%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -5.19%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -2.17%E -0.963%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.19%EV -2.73%E -0.711%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.78%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 15:52 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.53%EV -9.12%E -4.37%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -8.31%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -3.04%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -8.93%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -2.17%E -0.963%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -15.21%E -7.80%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 15:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -13.91%E -7.02%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -24.01%E -8.00%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.79%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.50%EV -17.35%E -6.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -15.21%E -7.80%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.69%EV -17.68%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.5% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.75% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37% | 2.4% | 2026-03-15 15:55 |