Szkoła Kursów

Aalesund v Lillestrom

Początek: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Aalesund (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 31.19%3.21kurs godziwy
EV +4.48%
Przewaga +1.34%
Kelly +1.91%
Wzrost +0.085%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.84%31.05%31.23%32.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.653.043.003.3537.74%32.94%33.33%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lillestrom (Goście)

Prognoza 43.48%2.30kurs godziwy
EV -2.17%
Przewaga -0.963%
Kelly -1.73%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.89%43.58%43.51%46.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.932.092.102.2551.81%47.87%47.62%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.33%3.95kurs godziwy
EV -2.48%
Przewaga -0.643%
Kelly -0.869%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.51%25.37%25.26%28.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.603.653.8533.33%27.74%27.40%25.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 05:20
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 05:20
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 05:20
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -14.34%E -7.28%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 05:20
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV +1.36%E +0.418%K +0.604%G +0.008%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 05:20
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV +1.36%E +0.418%K +0.604%G +0.008%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 05:20
Coolbet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%EV +0.736%E +0.228%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.73%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -2.48%E -0.643%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 14:55
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -0.199%E -0.062%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.08%E -8.33%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 05:20
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
BetAnything3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
BetUS3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
GTbets3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.91%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -7.29%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 15:55
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 15:45
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -5.19%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -2.17%E -0.963%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.19%EV -2.73%E -0.711%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 15:55
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:54
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.78%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:50
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:52
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.53%EV -9.12%E -4.37%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:50
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -8.31%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -3.04%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 15:50
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -8.93%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -2.17%E -0.963%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 15:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 15:55
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:14
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -15.21%E -7.80%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 15:46
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:50
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 15:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:50
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 15:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -13.91%E -7.02%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 15:45
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -24.01%E -8.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-15 15:55
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.79%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 15:55
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.50%EV -17.35%E -6.55%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -15.21%E -7.80%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.69%EV -17.68%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 15:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%1.5%2026-03-15 15:55
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13%2.0%2026-03-15 15:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%2.4%2026-03-15 15:55