مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aalesund v Lillestrom

البداية: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aalesund (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.19%3.21السعر العادل
EV +4.48%
الأفضلية +1.34%
Kelly +1.91%
النمو +0.085%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.84%31.05%31.23%32.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.653.043.003.3537.74%32.94%33.33%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lillestrom (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.48%2.30السعر العادل
EV -2.17%
الأفضلية -0.963%
Kelly -1.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.89%43.58%43.51%46.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.932.092.102.2551.81%47.87%47.62%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.33%3.95السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -0.643%
Kelly -0.869%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.51%25.37%25.26%28.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.603.653.8533.33%27.74%27.40%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 05:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +4.48%E +1.34%K +1.91%G +0.085%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -12.17%E -6.02%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 05:20
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 05:20
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 05:20
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV +2.92%E +0.885%K +1.27%G +0.037%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -14.34%E -7.28%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 05:20
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV +1.36%E +0.418%K +0.604%G +0.008%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 05:20
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV +1.36%E +0.418%K +0.604%G +0.008%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -14.78%E -7.54%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 05:20
Coolbet3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%EV +0.736%E +0.228%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.73%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -2.48%E -0.643%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 14:55
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -0.199%E -0.062%K -0.091%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.08%E -8.33%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 05:20
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
BetAnything3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
BetUS3.08I 32.47%NM 31.15%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:55
GTbets3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -3.94%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.91%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -7.29%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 15:55
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 15:45
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -5.19%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -2.17%E -0.963%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.19%EV -2.73%E -0.711%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 15:55
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:54
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.78%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:50
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:52
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.53%EV -9.12%E -4.37%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:50
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -8.31%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -3.04%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 15:50
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -8.93%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -2.17%E -0.963%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 15:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 15:55
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:14
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -15.21%E -7.80%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 15:46
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 15:50
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 15:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:50
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.18%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 15:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.92%EV -13.91%E -7.02%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 15:45
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -12.67%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -24.01%E -8.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-15 15:55
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.79%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 15:55
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.50%EV -17.35%E -6.55%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -15.21%E -7.80%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.69%EV -17.68%E -5.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 15:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%1.5%2026-03-15 15:55
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13%2.0%2026-03-15 15:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%2.4%2026-03-15 15:55