Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aalesund v KFUM

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Aalesund 2–2 KFUM

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aalesund (Local)

Prediction 35.93%2.78fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.24%36.03%35.91%39.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.522.7344.44%40.03%39.60%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KFUM (Visit)

Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%36.39%36.53%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.582.7042.55%39.05%38.83%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -0.826%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%27.58%27.56%28.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.333.5532.26%30.10%30.08%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aalesund (Local): 35.93%; KFUM (Visit): 36.49%; Draw: 27.58%. For KFUM (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.57%EV -1.90%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.07%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.69%EV -2.62%E -0.967%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.06%EV -4.76%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:20
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.60%EV -6.93%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -2.93%E -0.834%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -8.01%E -3.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:18
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.15%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 14:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -14.25%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:18
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.52%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.76%E -5.73%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:19
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.84%EV -16.28%E -6.99%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.84%EV -16.28%E -6.99%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 08:20
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -17.35%E -7.55%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 08:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -19.15%E -8.51%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30