La escuela de los momiosAalesund v KFUM
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aalesund (Local)
Predicción 35.93%2.78momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.24%36.03%35.91%39.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.502.522.7344.44%40.03%39.60%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KFUM (Visitante)
Predicción 36.49%2.74momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -0.867%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.83%36.39%36.53%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.582.7042.55%39.05%38.83%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.58%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.594%
Kelly -0.826%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%27.58%27.56%28.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.333.5532.26%30.10%30.08%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.57%EV -1.90%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.07%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.69%EV -2.62%E -0.967%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.06%EV -4.76%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| GTbets | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.60%EV -6.93%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -2.93%E -0.834%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -8.01%E -3.13%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 14:18 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.15%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -14.25%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 14:18 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.52%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.76%E -5.73%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:19 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.84%EV -16.28%E -6.99%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.84%EV -16.28%E -6.99%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -17.35%E -7.55%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -19.15%E -8.51%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 08:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |