L’École des cotes

Aalesund v KFUM

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Score final : Aalesund 2–2 KFUM

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 35.93%2.78cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.697%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.24%36.03%35.91%39.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.502.522.7344.44%40.03%39.60%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KFUM (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.49%2.74cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -0.867%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.83%36.39%36.53%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.582.7042.55%39.05%38.83%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.58%3.63cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.594%
Kelly -0.826%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%27.58%27.56%28.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.333.5532.26%30.10%30.08%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.57%EV -1.90%E -0.697%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.07%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.69%EV -2.62%E -0.967%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.06%EV -4.76%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:20
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 14:20
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:20
GTbets2.59I 38.61%NM 36.60%EV -6.93%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -2.93%E -0.834%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -8.01%E -3.13%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.95%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:18
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:19
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:20
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.15%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 14:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.60%E -4.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 14:19
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -14.25%E -6.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:18
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:20
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.77%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.52%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 14:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.76%E -5.73%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.42%E -5.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 14:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:19
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -1.47%E -0.546%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 08:20
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.84%EV -16.28%E -6.99%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 08:20
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.84%EV -16.28%E -6.99%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 08:20
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -17.35%E -7.55%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -3.30%E -1.24%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 08:20
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -19.15%E -8.51%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -5.12%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 08:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-12 14:30