默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Willem II v NEC Nijmegen

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 14:30 UTC

最终结果: Willem II 1–4 NEC Nijmegen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Willem II (主队)

预测 19.67%5.08公平赔率
EV +2.48%
优势 +0.477%
Kelly +0.590%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 5.21

博彩公司预测分布
18.50%19.64%19.69%21.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.754.755.2123.81%21.06%21.05%19.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

NEC Nijmegen (客队)

预测 59.22%1.69公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -1.75%
Kelly -4.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.64

博彩公司预测分布
56.40%59.12%59.27%61.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.581.591.6466.23%63.21%62.89%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.11%4.74公平赔率
EV +1.10%
优势 +0.229%
Kelly +0.289%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.79

博彩公司预测分布
20.25%21.24%21.04%23.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.954.304.304.7925.32%23.26%23.26%20.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Willem II (主队):19.67%;NEC Nijmegen (客队):59.22%;平局:21.11%。 对于“Willem II (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.08。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.21,对应+2.48%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯5.21I 19.19%NM 18.50%EV +2.48%E +0.477%K +0.590%G +0.015%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.00%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.804%E -0.171%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68%EV +2.29%E +0.440%K +0.545%G +0.012%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.24%EV -2.87%E -1.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.89%EV +0.714%E +0.139%K +0.173%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.89%EV +0.714%E +0.139%K +0.173%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 14:04
BetUS🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.89%EV +0.714%E +0.139%K +0.173%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 14:05
BetAnything🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.89%EV +0.714%E +0.139%K +0.173%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV +0.320%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.02%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -8.19%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 14:24
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV +0.320%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.02%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -8.19%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 14:24
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.65%E -0.329%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:49
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.65%E -0.329%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 14:19
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.65%E -0.329%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 14:19
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -1.65%E -0.329%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.80%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -10.30%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:24
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:49
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.41%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:15
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.41%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:14
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:15
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:24
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:24
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:14
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.58%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.22%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16%EV -6.08%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:23
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.58%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:24
1xBet🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 20.25%EV -5.78%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.25%EV +1.10%E +0.229%K +0.289%G +0.003%3.1%2026-08-15 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:19
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:19
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:20
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.25%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:20
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -13.47%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:24
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.30%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -7.55%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 14:24
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:15
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:49
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.80%E -5.71%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.25%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 14:24
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.82%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.82%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.82%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 14:25
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 14:24
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.82%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -10.30%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 14:24
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 14:14
NetBet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.29%EV -10.57%E -7.00%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -9.25%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 14:20
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 14:15
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 14:20
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -14.83%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -14.83%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -17.38%E -4.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -8.80%E -5.71%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -9.25%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 14:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-08-15 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-08-15 14:15
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-08-15 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-08-15 14:25
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.35%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-08-15 14:25
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%2.0%2026-08-15 14:20