Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.21
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.79
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Willem II (Casa): 19.67%; NEC Nijmegen (Trasferta): 59.22%; Pareggio: 21.11%. Per Willem II (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.08. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.21, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.48%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.50%EV +2.48%E +0.477%K +0.590%G +0.015% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.00%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -0.804%E -0.171%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68%EV +2.29%E +0.440%K +0.545%G +0.012% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.24%EV -2.87%E -1.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.89%EV +0.714%E +0.139%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.89%EV +0.714%E +0.139%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.89%EV +0.714%E +0.139%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.89%EV +0.714%E +0.139%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV +0.320%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.02%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -8.19%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV +0.320%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.02%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -8.19%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.65%E -0.329%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.65%E -0.329%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.65%E -0.329%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -1.65%E -0.329%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.80%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -10.30%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.41%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -12.41%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -3.61%E -0.737%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.58%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.22%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16%EV -6.08%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.58%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.91%E -0.634%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.25%EV -5.78%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.13%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.25%EV +1.10%E +0.229%K +0.289%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.25%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -13.47%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.30%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -7.55%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.80%E -5.71%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.25%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.82%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.82%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.82%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.82%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -10.30%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.36%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.29%EV -10.57%E -7.00%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -9.25%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -4.06%E -2.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -7.14%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -14.83%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -14.83%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.58%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -17.38%E -4.14%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -8.80%E -5.71%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -9.25%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.42% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.42% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.42% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |