StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Willem II v Heerenveen

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 12:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Willem II (Hemma)

Prognos 23.14%4.32rättvist odds
EV +0.667%
Fördel +0.153%
Kelly +0.199%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.13%23.14%23.13%24.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.654.004.004.3527.40%25.00%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Heerenveen (Borta)

Prognos 54.19%1.85rättvist odds
EV -1.38%
Fördel -0.758%
Kelly -1.68%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.05%54.09%54.29%55.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.631.731.741.8261.35%57.66%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.67%4.41rättvist odds
EV +0.207%
Fördel +0.047%
Kelly +0.061%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.91%22.77%22.58%24.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.034.004.4226.67%24.83%25.00%22.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Willem II (Hemma): 23.14%; Heerenveen (Borta): 54.19%; Oavgjort: 22.67%. För Willem II (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.32. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.667%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.17%EV +0.667%E +0.153%K +0.199%G +0.001%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.81%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.02%EV -5.01%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 12:20
1xBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -0.490%E -0.114%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.96%EV +0.207%E +0.047%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.490%E -0.114%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.53%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.490%E -0.114%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.53%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 12:20
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.490%E -0.114%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.53%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 12:25
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.490%E -0.114%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.53%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 12:24
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -0.490%E -0.114%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -11.58%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:05
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -0.490%E -0.114%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -11.58%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 12:20
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -1.83%E -0.423%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:09
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -1.83%E -0.423%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:10
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.23%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.18%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 12:20
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 12:05
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.51%E -0.585%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:00
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:00
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 12:19
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:15
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -2.51%E -0.585%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 12:10
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.01%E -1.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:20
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:00
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 12:04
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -12.72%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:05
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -10.45%E -2.65%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -10.45%E -2.65%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:20
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -10.45%E -2.65%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 23.19%EV -9.05%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.58%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 12:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -3.65%E -0.858%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 12:10
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.58%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:20
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.58%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.58%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.58%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:00
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.58%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.85%E -3.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 12:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.58%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 12:24
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.77%EV -11.68%E -7.16%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -8.18%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 12:04
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.85%E -3.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 12:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.85%E -3.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 12:20
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.85%E -3.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 12:20
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.85%E -3.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:15
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -14.98%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 12:20
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.05%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.16%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.98%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.16%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.98%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.16%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.98%E -4.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:20
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.85%E -3.64%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -15.53%E -4.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.31%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 12:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-08-30 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-08-30 12:25
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-08-30 12:25
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-08-30 12:25