StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Willem II v Excelsior

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Willem II 0–3 Excelsior

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Willem II (Hemma)

Prognos 33.18%3.01rättvist odds
EV +1.21%
Fördel +0.397%
Kelly +0.590%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.63%33.14%33.26%34.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.622.832.803.0538.17%35.38%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Excelsior (Borta)

Prognos 40.67%2.46rättvist odds
EV -4.01%
Fördel -1.70%
Kelly -2.95%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.80%40.69%40.60%42.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.272.302.3647.62%43.98%43.48%42.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.14%3.82rättvist odds
EV -1.96%
Fördel -0.523%
Kelly -0.713%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.96%26.17%26.14%27.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.533.543.7530.30%28.34%28.21%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Willem II (Hemma): 33.18%; Excelsior (Borta): 40.67%; Oavgjort: 26.14%. För Willem II (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.01. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.05, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.21%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%EV +1.21%E +0.397%K +0.590%G +0.007%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%EV +1.21%E +0.397%K +0.590%G +0.007%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80%EV +1.21%E +0.397%K +0.590%G +0.007%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 08:05
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -0.449%E -0.150%K -0.224%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -2.11%E -0.715%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -7.27%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -2.11%E -0.715%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -7.27%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:05
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -2.11%E -0.715%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -7.27%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:05
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.00%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.69%EV -4.01%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.86%EV -6.05%E -2.62%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 03:13
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:14
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:49
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:49
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:48
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.96%E -0.523%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:04
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.68%EV -5.64%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.68%EV -5.64%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:19
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.30%E -4.17%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 08:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 08:05
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 08:05
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -5.76%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.71%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.27%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -6.86%E -3.00%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.27%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:04
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.69%EV -6.05%E -2.62%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.96%E -0.523%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:20
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 22:40
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:33
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 20:38
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.27%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:15
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.27%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:15
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 04:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -11.33%E -5.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -11.33%E -5.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -11.33%E -5.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -14.59%E -6.95%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 19:05
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 17:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 19:05
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 19:04
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 05:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 05:00
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 05:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -8.74%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 03:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.36%EV -9.74%E -3.58%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 07:03
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.75%EV -9.74%E -3.58%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.05%EV -11.74%E -5.41%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.40%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -12.55%E -5.84%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.40%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.55%E -5.84%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 03:15
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.06%E -4.98%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 16:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-04 14:30