Language:English
Sparta Rotterdam v FC Zwolle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sparta Rotterdam (Local)
Prediction 53.38%1.87fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.73%53.44%53.34%55.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.731.731.8064.10%57.93%57.64%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Zwolle (Visit)
Prediction 23.57%4.24fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.473%
Kelly +0.616%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.51%23.61%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.993.984.3328.57%25.07%25.16%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.06%4.34fair odd
EV -0.400%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.120%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.25%23.04%23.05%24.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.994.004.3229.41%25.06%25.00%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sparta Rotterdam (Local): 53.38%; FC Zwolle (Visit): 23.57%; Draw: 23.06%. For FC Zwolle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.13%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.41%EV +2.05%E +0.473%K +0.616%G +0.013% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46%EV -0.400%E -0.093%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -7.13%E -4.09%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 08:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.93%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 08:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 08:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.62%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 08:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 08:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.13%E -4.09%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 08:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.44%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.93%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.01%EV -8.56%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.26%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.24%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 08:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.00%E -7.97%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.64%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -12.80%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -11.40%E -6.86%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.98%E -3.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.24%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-08 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.91%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.73%EV -21.61%E -6.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.57%EV -16.73%E -10.73%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -17.00%E -4.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -17.51%E -5.00%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 08:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |