L’École des cotes

Sparta Rotterdam v FC Zwolle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 11:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Prévision 53.38%1.87cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -4.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.73%53.44%53.34%55.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.731.731.8064.10%57.93%57.64%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Zwolle (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.57%4.24cote équitable
EV +2.05%
Avantage +0.473%
Kelly +0.616%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.26%23.51%23.61%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.993.984.3328.57%25.07%25.16%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.06%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.400%
Avantage -0.093%
Kelly -0.120%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.25%23.04%23.05%24.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.994.004.3229.41%25.06%25.00%23.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.13%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.41%EV +2.05%E +0.473%K +0.616%G +0.013%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46%EV -0.400%E -0.093%K -0.120%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 11:09
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:00
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 10:59
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 10:59
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -7.13%E -4.09%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 11:09
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 11:00
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 11:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 10:59
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 11:04
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 11:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 08:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 11:09
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 11:04
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:09
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.93%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 10:59
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 11:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 11:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 11:03
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 08:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 08:44
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 08:44
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 11:05
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.62%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 10:25
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 08:19
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 08:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 10:24
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 10:40
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.13%E -4.09%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 10:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 08:38
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 10:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:09
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.44%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.93%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 11:10
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.01%EV -8.56%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 10:49
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.26%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.24%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 08:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 08:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:08
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 08:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 11:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.00%E -7.97%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 10:49
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.64%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -12.80%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 10:34
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -11.40%E -6.86%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.98%E -3.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.24%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.91%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.73%EV -21.61%E -6.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-08 11:04
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.57%EV -16.73%E -10.73%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -17.00%E -4.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-08 11:04
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -17.51%E -5.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 08:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-08 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-08 11:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-08 11:10
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-08 11:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-03-08 11:10
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-03-08 11:10