La escuela de los momios

Sparta Rotterdam v FC Zwolle

Inicio: 2026-03-08 11:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Predicción 53.38%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -4.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.73%53.44%53.34%55.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.731.731.8064.10%57.93%57.64%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Zwolle (Visitante)

Predicción 23.57%4.24momio equitativo
EV +2.05%
Ventaja +0.473%
Kelly +0.616%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.26%23.51%23.61%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.993.984.3328.57%25.07%25.16%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.06%4.34momio equitativo
EV -0.400%
Ventaja -0.093%
Kelly -0.120%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.25%23.04%23.05%24.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.994.004.3229.41%25.06%25.00%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.13%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.41%EV +2.05%E +0.473%K +0.616%G +0.013%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46%EV -0.400%E -0.093%K -0.120%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 11:09
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:00
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +1.34%E +0.312%K +0.407%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 10:59
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV +0.164%E +0.039%K +0.051%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 10:59
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -7.13%E -4.09%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 11:09
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 11:00
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 11:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 10:59
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 11:04
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 11:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.06%E -3.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 08:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 11:09
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 11:04
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:09
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.93%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 10:59
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 11:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -10.33%E -6.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 11:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 11:03
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 08:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 08:44
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 08:44
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 11:05
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.62%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 10:25
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 08:19
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 08:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 10:24
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.17%E -0.754%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 10:40
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.13%E -4.09%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 10:24
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 08:38
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 10:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.66%E -4.43%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:09
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.44%EV -8.73%E -5.10%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.93%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 11:10
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%EV -11.93%E -7.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.01%EV -8.56%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 10:49
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.26%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.24%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 08:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 08:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.59%E -3.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.08%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:08
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.78%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 08:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -10.86%E -6.50%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 11:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.00%E -7.97%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 10:49
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.64%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -12.80%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 10:34
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -11.40%E -6.86%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.98%E -3.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.24%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.91%EV -13.53%E -8.35%K -21.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.73%EV -21.61%E -6.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-08 11:04
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.57%EV -16.73%E -10.73%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -17.00%E -4.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-08 11:04
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.26%E -5.45%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -17.51%E -5.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -12.39%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 08:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-08 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-08 11:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-08 11:10
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-08 11:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-03-08 11:10
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-03-08 11:10