The School of Odds
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SC Telstar v SC Cambuur

2026-09-06 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Telstar (Local)

Prediction 59.86%1.67fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.71%59.66%59.86%62.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.571.6169.44%64.76%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Cambuur (Visit)

Prediction 18.89%5.29fair odd
EV +3.90%
Edge +0.709%
Kelly +0.867%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.98%18.97%18.89%21.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.895.005.5025.00%20.47%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.25%4.71fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.75%21.37%21.26%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.264.334.5025.64%23.47%23.09%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SC Telstar (Local): 59.86%; SC Cambuur (Visit): 18.89%; Draw: 21.25%. For SC Cambuur (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +3.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.90%E +0.709%K +0.867%G +0.034%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.36%E -0.969%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.821%E -0.156%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -4.36%E -0.969%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.82%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.821%E -0.156%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -9.02%E -5.93%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -0.821%E -0.156%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.36%E -0.969%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.82%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -1.77%E -0.340%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 18:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.51%EV -3.63%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.01%EV -4.79%E -0.950%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -5.21%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.36%E -0.969%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.74%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.74%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -12.86%E -3.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.99%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 18:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.99%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.99%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.99%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.96%EV -13.21%E -9.11%K -29.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.30%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -14.99%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.22%EV -6.27%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.74%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.09%EV -13.81%E -9.59%K -31.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.10%EV -12.86%E -3.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-30 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.11%E -4.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-30 19:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -18.20%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.71%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -24.43%E -6.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -17.11%E -4.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 58.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.80%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-08-30 19:10
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%13.9%2026-08-30 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 51.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.77%20.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 51.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.77%20.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 51.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.77%20.5%2026-08-30 18:35