Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SC Telstar (Local): 55.55%; SC Cambuur (Visitante): 22.10%; Empate: 22.35%. Para SC Cambuur (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.53. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.28%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.56%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV +8.28%E +1.69%K +2.12%G +0.176% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.596%E +0.132%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.57%EV -8.90%E -5.43%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV +8.28%E +1.69%K +2.12%G +0.176% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.57%EV -8.90%E -5.43%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV +8.28%E +1.69%K +2.12%G +0.176% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.06%EV -9.46%E -5.80%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.93%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.88%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.756%G +0.021% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.71%E +0.377%K +0.483%G +0.008% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.756%G +0.021% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.71%E +0.377%K +0.483%G +0.008% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.756%G +0.021% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.71%E +0.377%K +0.483%G +0.008% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV +1.66%E +0.360%K +0.460%G +0.008% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV +1.66%E +0.360%K +0.460%G +0.008% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV +1.66%E +0.360%K +0.460%G +0.008% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -10.57%E -6.57%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV +1.66%E +0.360%K +0.460%G +0.008% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.555%E -0.123%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.555%E -0.123%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -1.64%E -0.373%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -0.555%E -0.123%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -0.555%E -0.123%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -11.13%E -6.95%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -0.555%E -0.123%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.86%EV -2.32%E -0.526%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.95%EV -5.89%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.27%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.88%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -10.57%E -6.57%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -12.79%E -8.15%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -12.79%E -8.15%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -12.79%E -8.15%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -12.79%E -8.15%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.32%EV -13.35%E -8.56%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -2.76%E -0.628%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -4.31%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.67%EV -1.68%E -0.951%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.40%EV -4.53%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.93%EV -5.66%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.88%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.81%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.23%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -3.20%E -0.740%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 12:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -3.20%E -0.740%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.88%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -13.93%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.86%EV -8.29%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.17%EV -11.68%E -7.35%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.82%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -15.05%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -8.90%E -5.43%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -12.71%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -6.11%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.79%EV -9.46%E -5.80%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.71%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -11.70%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -8.90%E -5.43%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -8.35%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -17.13%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.58%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 12:14 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.17% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.34% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |