Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Telstar v SC Cambuur

2026-09-06 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Telstar (Local)

Prévision 59.84%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -6.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.71%59.64%59.86%62.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.571.6169.44%64.70%63.69%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SC Cambuur (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.89%5.29cote équitable
EV +3.87%
Avantage +0.704%
Kelly +0.861%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.98%18.98%18.89%21.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.895.005.5025.00%20.46%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.27%4.70cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -0.948%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.75%21.38%21.26%22.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.264.334.5025.64%23.46%23.09%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : SC Telstar (Local) : 59.84% ; SC Cambuur (Visiteur) : 18.89% ; Match nul : 21.27%. Pour SC Cambuur (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.29. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.50, pour une espérance positive de +3.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -10.24%E -6.83%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.87%E +0.704%K +0.861%G +0.033%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.848%E -0.162%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.848%E -0.162%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -9.04%E -5.95%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -0.848%E -0.162%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.79%E -0.345%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -9.64%E -6.39%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -1.79%E -0.345%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 18:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.51%EV -3.66%E -2.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.01%EV -4.81%E -0.955%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -5.12%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.24%E -6.83%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.90%EV -3.66%E -2.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.88%EV -9.91%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.22%EV -4.90%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -12.77%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 18:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.96%EV -13.23%E -9.13%K -29.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.30%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -12.63%E -8.65%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.09%EV -13.83%E -9.60%K -31.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.10%EV -12.77%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-30 18:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 19:25
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.24%E -6.83%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-30 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.71%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -24.46%E -6.11%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 18:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-08-30 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-08-30 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-08-30 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-08-30 19:25
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%9.9%2026-08-30 19:25